I was trying to get an how it would look for NET purposes. It's hard to say this early, obviously but there still should be 12/13 Q1 games there. I hope, anyway.
For sure Q1 Games
Houston x2
KSU x2
TCU x2
KU
Baylor
Texas
Possible Q1 Games
@BYU (Finished 85th)
@Cincinnati (Finished 70th
@Oklahoma (finished 68th)
All 3 of those possible Q1 games are toss ups. Q1 games on the road must have a NET between 1-75.
That's reasonable within expected range of where opponents would rank. As you said, far too early to know for sure in all cases.
If anything, I might change the home games vs. KSU and TCU to Quad 2. Has to be 1-30 for home to be Q1 - feels like those two might be just outside of that. Maybe.
Of course, Q2 wins are good to have, too.