The new bubble is 9th-15th ranked teams. Really easy for the small biased Big Ten/SEC committee to screw teams that aren’t in their favorite conferences. If you’re a team that expects to be in that playoff (ISU not there yet but for example Utah, Baylor and TCU have had periods where their talent/results would have implied they should be top 12) it cannot hurt to have a win over a top SEC/Big Ten school to make it harder to screw you as a backup plan to not being best out of 16 in Big 12. One out of 16 isn’t easy even if some Big 12 team establishes itself as a monster of the conference.
FFS even Texas likely gets skipped this year if they hadn’t totally lucked out by scheduling the SEC champion. Texas certainly passed the eye test the entire way all season, got threw playing without their star QB, and the committee for some reason had Oregon and Ohio State in front of them until Alabama forced them to move Texas up and Oregon shattered the widespread idea that they were much better than Washington to whom they lost.
1) They're getting screwed no matter what. The committee 100% would put Missouri, LSU and Ole Miss all in. Ohio State and Penn State are in. Oregon's in. Florida State woulda been in obviously at 12. Georgia's in.
Oh look, 8+4 =12. That's NEVER going to change. You're only hope is to get the auto bid. Name me one of those schools who has a good non conference victory.
Ole Miss-no good non con from a power conference - beating Tulane is nice but not a power opponent -
Georgia - no good non con
LSU - no good non con
Penn State - no
Oregon (I don't count Texas Tech)
Florida State - yes
Missouri - I'll say yes but K-State is probably a bubble for quality quality
All of those teams are probably getting in. Then you add Oklahoma - played no one out of conference -
So it really doesn't matter. Non of those teams are playing anyone non conference for the most part.
Hell, that was part of what the SEC commissioner said - we'll just stop scheduling good opponents -
There is no benefit to it. The reality is of 12 spots - there is not one of the out large bids that isn't already spoken for.
Maybe 1 goes to an undefeated non group of 5 team. Maybe.
The rest are going to 10-2 non Big 10 winners, 9-3 SEC teams type (LSU, Ohio State, Penn State, Mizzou)
NOTHING IS GOING TO CHANGE. Its just going to mutate into a larger Big 10 / SEC tournament
So if I'm in the ACC - Big 12 - I want to enhance my ability to go undefeated as much as possible. Not potentially give me a loss in the non conference