That is not a good sign. Hasn’t Campbell lost like 10-12 straight when the line is within 3.5 points either way?
ISU -3 @ WVU
- Thread starter Al_4_State
- Start date
I think Iowa was -2.5
Not a gambling guru, but I believe ISU covered that
WVU looked pretty good this week. On the road I feel like this is a coin flip game.
I think this and @utah would both be about coin flip right now and toughest of the last 7.
I think this and @utah would both be about coin flip right now and toughest of the last 7.
Sagarin says ISU is favored in ALL remaining games:
Utah 1
WV 1
KSU 3.5
KU 5.5
Tech 8.5
Cincy 10
UCF 11
That's giving KU the 2.85 points for homefield btw.
WRT West Virginia, I have worries and comforts.
Worries:
its at their place, good home advantage for them
they might be figuring out their offense
all the defensive injuries for ISU - esp Orange, Singleton, Brezina up the middle to stop the rush
Greene is pretty mobile, that's often an issue for ISU's defense as it can extend drives
Comforts:
Greene is a ~50% passer with 4 picks in 5 games
ISU offense has continued to improve and has played better defenses already
Brown isn't that great a coach
WV might be overconfident after smoking an OSU team that is in freefall
their defense has not been great - most of their opponents had near season high points vs WV
WV is -3 on turnovers to ISU's +7.
I can't really tell if WV is a quality team playing at home, or just took advantage of bad opponents and is more smoke than fire.
Worries:
its at their place, good home advantage for them
they might be figuring out their offense
all the defensive injuries for ISU - esp Orange, Singleton, Brezina up the middle to stop the rush
Greene is pretty mobile, that's often an issue for ISU's defense as it can extend drives
Comforts:
Greene is a ~50% passer with 4 picks in 5 games
ISU offense has continued to improve and has played better defenses already
Brown isn't that great a coach
WV might be overconfident after smoking an OSU team that is in freefall
their defense has not been great - most of their opponents had near season high points vs WV
WV is -3 on turnovers to ISU's +7.
I can't really tell if WV is a quality team playing at home, or just took advantage of bad opponents and is more smoke than fire.
It's the Coal Rush game so maybe .25 pt?
Health concerns another .25 pt?
Total .5 pt on top of home field.
Health concerns another .25 pt?
Total .5 pt on top of home field.
They are going to test our weakness which is depth at the second level.
This might be a game where the offense will need to score and hope the defense can get enough stops. Possible over play.
We need to knock Greene out of the game early. He had about 100 yards on the ground last week. I thoroughly enjoyed Heacock dialing up the pressure on the Baylor QB Saturday night, hope to see Greene on his back or coughing up the ball. Let’s put their coach back on the hot seat.
I'm worried about their mobile QBs and our thin inexperienced (thinexperienced?) LB corps.
Greene has run for 295 and 3 TDs (86 and 1 against OSU)
Marchiol has run for 64 and 1 TD (49 and 0 against OSU)
Greene is a sturdy dude. The young LBs seem to do a pretty good job of being in position but struggle tackling (game still understandably fast for them). If they get asked to spy, or Malik/Freyler have to get pulled out of high safety coverage to do it, that's going to be trouble
Greene has run for 295 and 3 TDs (86 and 1 against OSU)
Marchiol has run for 64 and 1 TD (49 and 0 against OSU)
Greene is a sturdy dude. The young LBs seem to do a pretty good job of being in position but struggle tackling (game still understandably fast for them). If they get asked to spy, or Malik/Freyler have to get pulled out of high safety coverage to do it, that's going to be trouble
My biggest concern is WV coming out with their hair on fire and putting us in a deficit. If we can trade punches for the first half I like our staffs ability to make adjustments and put WV away in the second. If they get up a couple TD's in that environment it's going to be rally tough to beat them.
I think WVU wins because:
-They’re a physical running team and our LB corps is basically dead
-That will be a phenomenal environment
-They’re a physical running team and our LB corps is basically dead
-That will be a phenomenal environment
At some point, the linebacker depth has to catch up with us. We’ve been able to survive by playing not just backups but the back ups back up and last Saturday the back ups back up back up.
If it doesn’t catch up with us, build the Heacock statue right next to CMC’s.
If it doesn’t catch up with us, build the Heacock statue right next to CMC’s.
IMO, we need to go with 4 down linemen, 2 lb's and 5 db's... with one being a spy on their QB. Fryler is big and physical and can play like a lb out there.
If ISU can run the ball they are a completely different team.
Hopefully they found their version of Deuce Vaughn
Hopefully they found their version of Deuce Vaughn
Greene scares the bejeezus out of me. Not only is he elusive, but he's tough as nails.
