We should be in. Big 12 will get multiple schools. I'd love to host a playoff game in Ames vs a SEC school in December. They are great but they always play in ideal conditions. Find out how bad the want it.
Playoffs
- Thread starter Newell
- Start date
Would need to be some major chaos that I don’t even know is possible to get in with 3 L’s.
Would be shocked if big 12 got 2 in. Unless Boise loses, big 12 champ is probably the 12 seed going to Penn State/Oregon loser
KidSilverhair
Well-Known Member
IN: MWC winner
Both SEC teams (Georgia and Texas)
Both B1G teams (Oregon and Penn State)
ACC winner
Big XII winner
Ohio State
Tennessee
Notre Dame
Who will be the other two? Almost certainly Indiana. Miami has to fall a long way from 6 to be out. Alabama is still lurking around after beating Auburn. Heck, South Carolina is getting into the conversation. If Clemson wins the ACC you’ve got SMU sitting there, too, maybe at 8 after Miami lost. I can’t see the Big XII CCG loser (or Colorado) overcoming the SEC/ACC bias (or, frankly, just having three losses … only Alabama gets the benefit of the doubt with three losses, it’s in the CFP bylaws) to get above all four of Miami/SMU/Bama/SCar.
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One thing we aren’t sure yet is how the committee will handle the schools who are not playing in championship games.
I am not sure why people are stating we are going to get multiple teams in. The math and the rankings don’t add up. I wish that was the case and I think in other years where the league is stronger we may get 2.
—Big10 gets 4
—Sec gets 4 - they will argue they should have them all…lol
—notre dame will be a 5 seed ish
There is only 3 spots left for Boise, acc, big12
I will be really interested how they treat the sec on this. Would they strip them down and only give them 3? And remember if they feel like they get screwed they don’t just whine they threaten to start an entire new football league
Acc has Smu, Clemson and Miami fighting over 1 spot
So in my opinion big12 is a one bid league and on top of that if Boise doesn’t lose the big 12 winner will have to go on the road to play someone like notre dame, Ohio state, Tennessee, etc
So Boise is the one really screwing the league this year.
Really Kansas is the one who screwed the conference. Somehow only beat the top big 12 teams and lost to UNLV. Without them the big 12 gets 2 in.
That day will be the warmest December day ever recorded, because reasons.
The committee would take CU for the hype if they're taking a 3 loss Big 12 team.
Enough chaos that we could slide to the 10-11 seed area. Have SMU or Boise lose and the big 12 should get a bye.
Miami is so damn overrated compared to isu, asu, and byu. Beating Florida is like beating Iowa. Isu and Miami resume nearly identical.
There was a point recently when not having a "13th data point" was punitive. But no one expects that to be universally applied now when it can help favored brands.
Big 12 is very, very, very likely getting 1 team in.
The only possible route for 2 would be Arizona State somehow leapfrogging the three-loss SEC teams ahead of them (all of them won today, with USC winning ranked game against Clemson), Miami dropping behind ASU with their loss, SMU beating Clemson in the ACC title, AND then the committee not punishing ASU for losing in the B12 championship. I don’t see it personally.
I think you’re looking at
SEC: Texas, Georgia, Tennessee
B10: Oregon, Penn State, Ohio State, Indiana
Notre Dame
MWC: Boise State or UNLV
B12: ASU or ISU
ACC: SMU I think is a lock at this point
Last spot up for grabs between Miami, Bama, South Carolina. All 3 get bumped if Clemson beats SMU
The only possible route for 2 would be Arizona State somehow leapfrogging the three-loss SEC teams ahead of them (all of them won today, with USC winning ranked game against Clemson), Miami dropping behind ASU with their loss, SMU beating Clemson in the ACC title, AND then the committee not punishing ASU for losing in the B12 championship. I don’t see it personally.
I think you’re looking at
SEC: Texas, Georgia, Tennessee
B10: Oregon, Penn State, Ohio State, Indiana
Notre Dame
MWC: Boise State or UNLV
B12: ASU or ISU
ACC: SMU I think is a lock at this point
Last spot up for grabs between Miami, Bama, South Carolina. All 3 get bumped if Clemson beats SMU
I would like to see the playoff schedule games that pit two conference teams against each other that have not yet played. So an example: This year ISU vs ASU in title game, then winner and BYU go to the playoffs, but play each other the first round. Big 10 teams and SEC teams same thing.
KidSilverhair
Well-Known Member
Yep, let’s look at this another way.
One undefeated team (Oregon)
Six one-loss teams (Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, SMU, Indiana, Boise State)
Eight two-loss ranked teams (Ohio State, Miami, Georgia, Tennessee, Arizona State, Iowa State, BYU, UNLV)
ALL of the teams with one loss or fewer are in the playoff, guaranteed (or, at least the team that beats SMU or Boise in the CCG). That’s seven.
The Big XII winner is in. That’s eight.
No way Ohio State, Georgia (even with an CCG loss) and Tennessee aren’t in. That’s eleven.
So there’s one spot left. Miami and Alabama are both going to be around 10-11-12, somewhere in there, with South Carolina right behind. And if Clemson happens to beat a top-8 SMU team for the ACC title, well, they’re not supposed to punish a team for a CCG loss, so the Mustangs would be in the mix.
There‘s no place for a three-loss Big XII team with the way the committee has things set up.
I really do hate to say it, but it sure looks like they’ve got Alabama sitting pretty right now.
One undefeated team (Oregon)
Six one-loss teams (Texas, Penn State, Notre Dame, SMU, Indiana, Boise State)
Eight two-loss ranked teams (Ohio State, Miami, Georgia, Tennessee, Arizona State, Iowa State, BYU, UNLV)
ALL of the teams with one loss or fewer are in the playoff, guaranteed (or, at least the team that beats SMU or Boise in the CCG). That’s seven.
The Big XII winner is in. That’s eight.
No way Ohio State, Georgia (even with an CCG loss) and Tennessee aren’t in. That’s eleven.
So there’s one spot left. Miami and Alabama are both going to be around 10-11-12, somewhere in there, with South Carolina right behind. And if Clemson happens to beat a top-8 SMU team for the ACC title, well, they’re not supposed to punish a team for a CCG loss, so the Mustangs would be in the mix.
There‘s no place for a three-loss Big XII team with the way the committee has things set up.
I really do hate to say it, but it sure looks like they’ve got Alabama sitting pretty right now.
Boise isn’t screwing anyone - the committee is.
I’m going to keep posting Boise’s wins that somehow have them as the 11th ranked team. Joke.
Georgia Southern
Portland State
Washington State
Utah State
Hawaii
UNLV
San Diego State
Nevada
San Jose State
Wyoming
Oregon State
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KidSilverhair
Well-Known Member
They’ve certainly come a long way from “no 13th data point is a strike against you” to “we can’t penalize teams like Notre Dame or Tennessee or Alabama or Indiana just because they aren’t playing a CCG”
KidSilverhair
Well-Known Member
Yeah, but, truck stops
