Playoffs

JM4CY

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And if ISU beats ASU, they’ll have a 10-2 win + 3 8-4 wins. Thats better than most. Would be curious how that stacks up against Boise (who everyone has well ahead of ISU.
If any of that mattered, Indiana and Notre Dame wouldn't be ranked where they are. I wouldn't spend to much time down any kind of logic-train.
 

Die4Cy

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There is absolutely no world in which we host a home game.

Yes. We will either play first weekend on the road or second weekend at a bowl venue as a top 4 rated conference champ if they jump Boise somehow. That's it. No chance of making it at all if losing the conference championship game.
 
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clone52

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If any of that mattered, Indiana and Notre Dame wouldn't be ranked where they are. I wouldn't spend to much time down any kind of logic-train.
Notre Dame is fine.
8-4 Texas A&M
8-4 Louisville
7-5 Georgia Tech
Army and Navy

They've got a better resume than most teams.
 
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ISU_Guy

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Yes. We will either play first weekend on the road or second weekend at a bowl venue as a top 4 rated conference champ if they jump Boise somehow. That's it. No chance of making it at all if losing the conference championship game.
agree.

Its super exciting to be in this opportunity, but depressing to think we may win the big 12 title and have to play a road game in a columbus, south bend, Happy Valley, Knoxville tn on December 20th. Would give us about a 20% chance of winning that.

versus getting the bye and having a true huge 2nd round game combined with a bowl package on Jan 1. All Just feels much different.
 

ForeverIowan

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Clemson winning will keep them ahead of us in any scenario. They are the more attractive program and the fact they lost 3 games means nothing. That's just how the committee works.
With all due respect, this simply is not accurate. The CFP ranking will be really important on Tuesday. If Iowa State is ranked higher than Clemson this Tuesday (and they shluld be), 3 loss ACC Champ Clemson is not jumping 2 loss Big 12 champion Iowa State after conference championship weekend. There is just ZERO justification for that as Arizona State and SMU are similar opponenets. Its not like Clemson would be knocking off the #1 team in the country.

Lastly, go look at Clemson's schedule. Their best win by FAR is 7-5 Pitt. Zero other impressive wins. Pair that with 3 losses. They arent jumping Iowa State.
 
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clone52

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I wonder if wins against teams with a winning record come into play.

Going into the week, Penn State had 5 wins against teams with a winning record. Now they have 2.
Tennessee had 3 wins and now they have 2.
 

JM4CY

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With all due respect, this simply is not accurate. The CFP ranking will be really important on Tuesday. If Iowa State is ranked higher than Clemson this Tuesday (and they shluld be), 3 loss ACC Champ Clemson is not jumping 2 loss Big 12 champion Iowa State after conference championship weekend. There is just ZERO justification for that as Arizona State and SMU are similar opponenets. Its not like Clemson would be knocking off the #1 team in the country.

Lastly, go look at Clemson's schedule. Their best win by FAR is 7-5 Pitt. Zero other impressive wins. Pair that with 3 losses. They arent jumping Iowa State.
Pay attention and you'll find that the committee gives zero f*cks what "should be" and "justification" is. It's open manipulation. It has been from the beginning.
 
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cycloneman003

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IF we win the championship game, my dream scenario would be getting that last bye and 4 seed (either jumping Boise (unlikely) or UNLV winning) and then ND getting the 5 seed.

That'd be the best draw possible IMO if we got the bye and face the winner of a Notre Dame/MWC champ. That ND schedule has been soft and that'd be the best route to a potential playoff win IMO.
 

iowastatefan1929

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IF we win the championship game, my dream scenario would be getting that last bye and 4 seed (either jumping Boise (unlikely) or UNLV winning) and then ND getting the 5 seed.

That'd be the best draw possible IMO if we got the bye and face the winner of a Notre Dame/MWC champ. That ND schedule has been soft and that'd be the best route to a potential playoff win IMO.
Notre Dame is #1 in Sagarin. A road win at Neyland or SMU and Boise St in the Rose seems like the a doable path to the Final 4. Having to go silent count at Neyland will be the one problem there.
 

JM4CY

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IF we win the championship game, my dream scenario would be getting that last bye and 4 seed (either jumping Boise (unlikely) or UNLV winning) and then ND getting the 5 seed.

That'd be the best draw possible IMO if we got the bye and face the winner of a Notre Dame/MWC champ. That ND schedule has been soft and that'd be the best route to a potential playoff win IMO.
We'd still need to be competitive in the semifinal game at a mininum to get even a sliver of respect. Go out there and get bumfucked by Georgia, Oregon or whoever and the whole "playing a soft conference" narrative won't change a bit.
 
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ForeverIowan

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Pay attention and you'll find that the committee gives zero f*cks what "should be" and "justification" is. It's open manipulation. It has been from the beginning.
Ill eat crow if wrong, but if Clemson is ranked lower than both Arizona State and Iowa State on Tuesday, they are NOT going to JUMP the 2 loss Big 12 champion. Not going to happen.
 
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cedarstrip

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Does anybody know if the semi final locations are set when the bracket is revealed? The quarter final games are based off historical conference affiliation. Will they wait for the quarters to be done to say cotton 1,4 side of bracket, orange 2,3 side? Maybe the highest seed left plays closest to home?
 

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