401k Changes

Mtowncyclone13

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All I want it to put all my pennies with the guys in ads that say "Trader made $3 million from home betting on the next Amazon! Here's is lock for next year!"
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
As you probably know, CalPERS is in a bit of a shortfall financially.

They have decided to go to private equity to boost returns to save themselves --

https://www.ft.com/content/36277356-01a0-491a-a7be-6a5e742a4980

So yes, they have made the change. They are going for it.

It might save them. Or it might be opening up the seacock on an already sinking ship. Either way, the equity bros are going to be making a killing.


This is eerily similar to the Savings and loan situation back in the 80s/90s.
 

twa5786

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As I understand it, this is much ado about very little for the time being. It’s unlikely that individual participants will be able to invest in PE like they have some sort of brokerage window or something. More so, it’ll probably look like Target Date Fund managers baking PE into their portfolios. Most participants probably won’t even know the difference. For large TDF managers with a lot of clout and big research benches, I think this is a good thing that could lead to better performance. Only danger is that most TDF managers are just chasing higher returns under the guise of extending glide paths, as they know that plan sponsors are making selections based on best returns or lowest fees. More risk = higher standard deviation (volatility). It’ll be even more reason to consider moving out of that target date fund if you’re nearing retirement. For all other investors with a longer time horizon, I think this could be beneficial.
 

jmb

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I don't see more investment options as having a large downside, assuming their is transparency by the fund managers regarding the portfolio holdings.
Liquidity
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
Liquidity


Yeah, that will be one rough obsticle to overcome. Most mutual funds will flip their portfolios completely within a one to three year timeframe, PE would be a tough thing to get in and out of. Wonder if it would be more in the loan area?
 

BryceC

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Serious question, has anyone ever had a 401k where you didn't choose funds, and where those funds' holdings were clear?

Between my wife and I we've had 7 different 401k plans and that's how they all worked. As has been the case with everybody I've ever talked to about this.

Many plans, including the one I use, basically have like retirement goal date funds. My 401k is basically in a "retire in 2040" bucket, which starts out more aggressive and then gets more conservative as you approach that date. I have some sprinkled in other places, but if I'm totally honest I have absolutely no idea what it's invested in.
 

CloneJD

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It's not just more options. It could effect funds people are already using. Private equity is typically more volatile. Just something to keep on eye on when reviewing your funds.

I get that but it's not like Vanguard will not have lower risk options available that have little if no exposure to PE.Just select those options. Problem solved.
 

cyphoon

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I've never seen a 401k without a cheap s&p500 choice.

Unfortunately, I have. The fund lineup at a previous job was limited to actively managed funds, all with expense ratios north of 1%. After some employee pushback, the company managing the acct added one of Principal's S&P 500 funds, along with its 0.54% ER. A bit high IMO for tracking a common index.

H
 

cycloneG

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I get that but it's not like Vanguard will not have lower risk options available that have little if no exposure to PE.Just select those options. Problem solved.

I wasn't saying they weren't. I was simply saying people should pay attention to their current funds more closely. Funds people have been in for years could take on more risk.
 

AuH2O

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Many plans, including the one I use, basically have like retirement goal date funds. My 401k is basically in a "retire in 2040" bucket, which starts out more aggressive and then gets more conservative as you approach that date. I have some sprinkled in other places, but if I'm totally honest I have absolutely no idea what it's invested in.

I'm surprised many plans have only the target date funds, but I use these as well in addition to some other funds in my plan. My guess is exposure to PE in target date funds will be highest in the far-out target date funds and get smaller as you get closer.

I just don't see this as some scary thing. It's one more way to diversify. I think it will take some time to get more knowledge built into the funds to effectively manage PE investments. I wonder if essentially these funds buy shares into pools of some sort to diversify within PE.

There are absolutely awful investments available to damn near every fund in every 401k out there as it is right now. Most funds could go buy some straight dogcrap muni or corporate bonds or garbage stocks right now and I don't see anybody freaking out about it. There are thousands of terrible options that fund managers can access right now.

For a vast majority of people they will have plenty of options for funds that avoid PE exposure altogether. These might take higher fees, but in the end the funds have to perform vs. their cost or they get destroyed. For the few that have such limited fund options that they can't avoid it, your funds have had access to terrible investments for years as it is.
 

BryceC

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I'm surprised many plans have only the target date funds, but I use these as well in addition to some other funds in my plan. My guess is exposure to PE in target date funds will be highest in the far-out target date funds and get smaller as you get closer.

I just don't see this as some scary thing. It's one more way to diversify. I think it will take some time to get more knowledge built into the funds to effectively manage PE investments. I wonder if essentially these funds buy shares into pools of some sort to diversify within PE.

There are absolutely awful investments available to damn near every fund in every 401k out there as it is right now. Most funds could go buy some straight dogcrap muni or corporate bonds or garbage stocks right now and I don't see anybody freaking out about it. There are thousands of terrible options that fund managers can access right now.

For a vast majority of people they will have plenty of options for funds that avoid PE exposure altogether. These might take higher fees, but in the end the funds have to perform vs. their cost or they get destroyed. For the few that have such limited fund options that they can't avoid it, your funds have had access to terrible investments for years as it is.

yeah I’m not worried about it at all honestly. It’s not like those huge target date funds are going to go wild on private equity. It’s just going to be another option.
 

aeroclone

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If you are in a spot where you can defer $19,500 per year into your 401k plan, I wouldnt call you "poor folk".
for a married couple that is $19,500 each for 401k. Plus you can do another $6k each in an IRA. And if it works for your situation you can do $7100 in an HSA.

That will get you to $58,100 per year. For a couple close to retirement the added limits for catchup contributions pushes that over $60k.

Median household income is right around $60k, so if you can't fit your investments into these limits not only are you not poor, you aren't middle class either.
 

jmb

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Yeah, that will be one rough obsticle to overcome. Most mutual funds will flip their portfolios completely within a one to three year timeframe, PE would be a tough thing to get in and out of. Wonder if it would be more in the loan area?
There are lots of PE structures. There are PE mf's now. Most are useless and do not provide any alpha.
 

Sigmapolis

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If you are in a spot where you can defer $19,500 per year into your 401k plan, I wouldnt call you "poor folk".

The inability of the "professional class" to not see its elevated position... elite position really... in our society is a really fascinating dynamic.

Most people are worried about making rent, not retirement savings.
 
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ruxCYtable

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I read about this story a day or two ago, and if I understand it correctly, private equity funds could be added to the list options you choose. But the you would still have control over the funds you want to invest in, just like know. Unless I'm wrong, it's not like a third party all if a sudden has control of your 401k.

I could be wrong and if someone else has insight to this, I'd like to learn more.
True, but a lot of 401k investors aren't sophisticated enough to know what they're getting into. When I worked in the industry, we had some 401ks that offered self-directed brokerage (SDBA) through a third party. Even that was too complicated for the average 401k participant. Talked to a guy who just thought the SDBA firm was professionally managing his funds and he didn't have to choose any investments. Nope. All his money was sitting in the intermediary (sweep) account for over 20 years, earning exactly 0%.

He thought he was doing something really smart and totally f'd himself in the process because he had no f'ing clue what he was doing.