99%

mp444

Active Member
Nov 4, 2014
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Are there published tiebreaker rules in the scenario that games are missed? Or are people just guessing about what would happen? [sorry if this has already been covered]
To answer my own question it looks like there are procedures for handling missed games here (after the normal tiebreaker procedures):
 
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DurangoCy

Well-Known Member
Jul 5, 2010
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Durango, CO
My point being why wouldn’t Oklahoma winning that game help is? Does OSU have a tiebreaker over us?
That’s what I thought too.
Again, I realize that.

Take out our game and tonight is our best shot save winning next week. Do you trust Texas, especially if they fire Herman?
Yes, I realize all of that happening is very unlikely. But if you look at them individually one starts to wonder. Texas gets the COVID and cancels that Kansas game and all of a sudden things look very dicey.

I had it in my head before I saw that other tweet that Oklahoma beating West Virginia was the other way we'd be good. And that seems like the most likely of all.

Don't we spend a **** ton of timing talking about how God hates Iowa State?

1. OU Losing means they have 3 loses and therefore can not catch an ISU team that at most can only have two losses. That means ISU vs. OSU in the title game.
2. Since ISU fans still can't seem to live life without a sky is falling outlook, below is the math. Baylor vs KSU is still fluctuating a bit right now, but the 1/169,000 chance of ISU not making the title game hasn't kept me up at night.

Needed OutcomeChance of Not Happening
1. Texas over Kanas (This should be a given.)
0.028​
2. Iowa State over West Virginia (Very possible, but not a given.)
0.356​
3. K State over Baylor (Very possible, but the second half has been iffy.)
0.115​
4. Texas over KSU (Very Possible, but can't get a read on the kitties.)
0.228​
5. TCU over OSU (Possible, but wouldn't count on it.)
0.485​
6. Baylor over Oklahoma STate (maybe possible, but unlikely)
0.593​
7. West Virginia over Oklahoma (maybe possible, but unlikely)
0.769​
8. Baylor over OU (Unlikely)
0.102​
5.89608E-06​
Chance of all of this happening are 1 in …...
169,604​
 
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IndyClone15

Well-Known Member
Jan 28, 2019
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So why does West Virginia beating Oklahoma have to happen for us get in?

If the worst happens, we would be 7-2, OSU would be 7-2, and Oklahoma and West Virginia would be 6-3.

What am I missing?

(I realize I am the one that said West Virginia needed to beat Oklahoma, but I took it from someone’s Twitter.)
it's the other way around. If OU beat WVU, that would leave us and the Oklahomas at 7-2, with the tiebreaker being record against 4th place team (WVU)
 

bosco

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Dec 21, 2008
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so-itbegins-lord-of-the-rings.gif
 

every_yard

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Aug 25, 2006
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Good - keeps the team focused on West Virginia (although I don’t think we need to worry about focus with this team anymore).
 

flycy

Well-Known Member
Jul 17, 2008
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Crescent, IA
It’s great! I’m hopeful about tonight. But I don’t feel great about the rest of them. It will be hard for us to beat West Virginia. I don’t trust Texas to take care of business. The other things won’t happen.

Let’s just get it finished tonight.
You don't trust Texas over KSU or Kansas? Either TH will be fighting to keep his job or the players will be inspired to win for the interim coach.
 

jsb

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You don't trust Texas over KSU or Kansas? Either TH will be fighting to keep his job or the players will be inspired to win for the interim coach.

I think Herman gets fired this week and they play Kansas State and lose (because ******* Kansas State) and then COVID scratch Kansas because who wants to play that game?
 
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FerShizzle

person slash genius
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Feb 5, 2013
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still not sure OU plays this coming weekend. Most teams that have cancelled have been for multiple weeks.
 

Mtowncyclone13

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,769
113
grundy center
Needed OutcomeChance of Not Happening
1. Texas over Kanas (This should be a given.)
0.028​
2. Iowa State over West Virginia (Very possible, but not a given.)
0.356​
3. K State over Baylor (Very possible, but the second half has been iffy.)
0.115​
4. Texas over KSU (Very Possible, but can't get a read on the kitties.)
0.228​
5. TCU over OSU (Possible, but wouldn't count on it.)
0.485​
6. Baylor over Oklahoma STate (maybe possible, but unlikely)
0.593​
7. West Virginia over Oklahoma (maybe possible, but unlikely)
0.769​
8. Baylor over OU (Unlikely)
0.102​
5.89608E-06​
Chance of all of this happening are 1 in …...
169,604​

As a sky-is-falling Cyclone, the way I read this is the third least likely event to happened has already happened.

If OU gets to not play and benefit from it no way we should have to play with potential CCG implications.
 
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DurangoCy

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Jul 5, 2010
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Durango, CO
As a sky-is-falling Cyclone, the way I read this is the third least likely event to happened has already happened.

If OU gets to not play and benefit from it no way we should have to play with potential CCG implications.

Then it's going to be a long couple of weeks for you thinking about whether UT can beat the two Kansas Schools or if our really good Cyclones can beat a team that we'll probably be favored by 10 over. :)
 

jakemcilroy

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Nov 26, 2006
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The ONLY thing that has me 10% worried is games we need (should we happen to lose) NOT getting played due to COVID...like Texas vs Kansas.
 
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mred

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Oct 19, 2006
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bball.notnothing.net
The ONLY thing that has me 10% worried is games we need (should we happen to lose) NOT getting played due to COVID...like Texas vs Kansas.
The thing we have going for us is that we're in if BOTH Texas games are cancelled. So the most likely case in the doomsday scenario still requires Texas losing to KSU (followed by a Texas/Kansas cancellation).
 

ISUATC

Well-Known Member
Feb 1, 2007
519
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The thing we have going for us is that we're in if BOTH Texas games are cancelled. So the most likely case in the doomsday scenario still requires Texas losing to KSU (followed by a Texas/Kansas cancellation).
At this point, I think you're just having fun stoking the fires of these doomsday posters.
 

CySmurf

Well-Known Member
Jul 14, 2011
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For some reason, I thought the 8th option was Oklahoma over West Virginia.

I don't love a senecio where we have to count on Texas winning games.
Just go with ISU beating West Virginia.
Texas will beat either KSU or Kansas...if KU doesn't decide to Covid forfeit the rest of the season.
 
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