To answer my own question it looks like there are procedures for handling missed games here (after the normal tiebreaker procedures):Are there published tiebreaker rules in the scenario that games are missed? Or are people just guessing about what would happen? [sorry if this has already been covered]
My point being why wouldn’t Oklahoma winning that game help is? Does OSU have a tiebreaker over us?
That’s what I thought too.
Again, I realize that.
Take out our game and tonight is our best shot save winning next week. Do you trust Texas, especially if they fire Herman?
Yes, I realize all of that happening is very unlikely. But if you look at them individually one starts to wonder. Texas gets the COVID and cancels that Kansas game and all of a sudden things look very dicey.
I had it in my head before I saw that other tweet that Oklahoma beating West Virginia was the other way we'd be good. And that seems like the most likely of all.
Don't we spend a **** ton of timing talking about how God hates Iowa State?
Needed Outcome | Chance of Not Happening |
1. Texas over Kanas (This should be a given.) | 0.028 |
2. Iowa State over West Virginia (Very possible, but not a given.) | 0.356 |
3. K State over Baylor (Very possible, but the second half has been iffy.) | 0.115 |
4. Texas over KSU (Very Possible, but can't get a read on the kitties.) | 0.228 |
5. TCU over OSU (Possible, but wouldn't count on it.) | 0.485 |
6. Baylor over Oklahoma STate (maybe possible, but unlikely) | 0.593 |
7. West Virginia over Oklahoma (maybe possible, but unlikely) | 0.769 |
8. Baylor over OU (Unlikely) | 0.102 |
5.89608E-06 | |
Chance of all of this happening are 1 in …... | 169,604 |
|
it's the other way around. If OU beat WVU, that would leave us and the Oklahomas at 7-2, with the tiebreaker being record against 4th place team (WVU)So why does West Virginia beating Oklahoma have to happen for us get in?
If the worst happens, we would be 7-2, OSU would be 7-2, and Oklahoma and West Virginia would be 6-3.
What am I missing?
(I realize I am the one that said West Virginia needed to beat Oklahoma, but I took it from someone’s Twitter.)
So manySorry to be that guy, but there are many threads with this info already.
what would be weird, would be OU losing, and we play OSU again, which I think will happen.
what would be weird, would be OU losing, and we play OSU again, which I think will happen.
You don't trust Texas over KSU or Kansas? Either TH will be fighting to keep his job or the players will be inspired to win for the interim coach.It’s great! I’m hopeful about tonight. But I don’t feel great about the rest of them. It will be hard for us to beat West Virginia. I don’t trust Texas to take care of business. The other things won’t happen.
Let’s just get it finished tonight.
You don't trust Texas over KSU or Kansas? Either TH will be fighting to keep his job or the players will be inspired to win for the interim coach.
Needed Outcome Chance of Not Happening 1. Texas over Kanas (This should be a given.) 0.0282. Iowa State over West Virginia (Very possible, but not a given.) 0.3563. K State over Baylor (Very possible, but the second half has been iffy.) 0.1154. Texas over KSU (Very Possible, but can't get a read on the kitties.) 0.2285. TCU over OSU (Possible, but wouldn't count on it.) 0.4856. Baylor over Oklahoma STate (maybe possible, but unlikely) 0.5937. West Virginia over Oklahoma (maybe possible, but unlikely) 0.7698. Baylor over OU (Unlikely) 0.102 5.89608E-06Chance of all of this happening are 1 in …... 169,604
As a sky-is-falling Cyclone, the way I read this is the third least likely event to happened has already happened.
If OU gets to not play and benefit from it no way we should have to play with potential CCG implications.
The thing we have going for us is that we're in if BOTH Texas games are cancelled. So the most likely case in the doomsday scenario still requires Texas losing to KSU (followed by a Texas/Kansas cancellation).The ONLY thing that has me 10% worried is games we need (should we happen to lose) NOT getting played due to COVID...like Texas vs Kansas.
At this point, I think you're just having fun stoking the fires of these doomsday posters.The thing we have going for us is that we're in if BOTH Texas games are cancelled. So the most likely case in the doomsday scenario still requires Texas losing to KSU (followed by a Texas/Kansas cancellation).
Just go with ISU beating West Virginia.For some reason, I thought the 8th option was Oklahoma over West Virginia.
I don't love a senecio where we have to count on Texas winning games.