Obviously there is no doubt now that we are in, not only because of our win, but also because of Miami's big win. The Hurricanes should be a lock now.
Bubble Watch
- Thread starter vcl3
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Miami is helping our seeding too. Big win at Virginia tonight for the Canes
I think it was in the game thread, I posted ISU is a lock, barring bizarre sequence of events. Chance of missing the field is probably now 5%. To borrow from Ralph Wiggum, it's next to un-possible.
Miami helped itself big-time with a road win at UVa (which has struggled lately, not sure why), and by extension, gives ISU another top-50 win.
Miami helped itself big-time with a road win at UVa (which has struggled lately, not sure why), and by extension, gives ISU another top-50 win.
Best-to-worst case for ISU, thru conference tournament — to some degree, these are lowest-end seeding scenarios, but tournament selection doesn't take place in a vacuum, so this is conservative.
24-9: 4/5 seed (finishing 2nd/3rd regular season, winning conference tournament)
23-10: 5 seed probable
23-11: 5 seed possible
22-11: 5/6 seed
21-11: 6 seed
20-12: 6/7 seed
20-11: 7 seed
20-12: 7/8 seed
19-12: 8/9 seed
19-13: 9/10 seed
18-13: 10/11 seed
24-9: 4/5 seed (finishing 2nd/3rd regular season, winning conference tournament)
23-10: 5 seed probable
23-11: 5 seed possible
22-11: 5/6 seed
21-11: 6 seed
20-12: 6/7 seed
20-11: 7 seed
20-12: 7/8 seed
19-12: 8/9 seed
19-13: 9/10 seed
18-13: 10/11 seed
Dumb question I'm probably asking........but does Miami win get included as a top 50 win on our resume, or did they need to be a top 50 back in Nov. when we played them?
Pretty sure all that matters is where they sit now (though I'm sure the committee members weigh it more closely if you're right on the line).
I guess one way to look at it, our last 3 games are all against 3 of the top 4 RPI teams in the conference, win 1 of those and it becomes a 'No doubt'.... More and that equals cherries....
Touched on this on the podcast today, but if ISU finished up 24-9 I think they'd be a 3 seed.
2nd place in Big 12
Won conference tournament
Won 10 straight games (11 out of 12 w/ game at Kansas)
Likely would have beat Baylor, WVU (2x), and Kansas in the last 2 weeks of the season.
My guess though is 21-11 and a 6 seed.
I'm sorry, but there's just no way we're not a lock at this point. "Should be in" doesn't make sense at this point.
I find it curious that they think a win at OU would make OSU a lock, but we aren't a lock after a win at a much better TT. Splitting hairs here, I know.
They seem to literally be using RPI as their only metric. Unwilling to make us a lock because our RPI is in the 40's. Surprised they don't include BPI on here since it's ESPN. Ridiculous regardless.
We're getting into the "start of the 4th Quarter against (Baylor/Oklahoma State) last year with big leads, no way we lose this one" territory here for the dance.
Sorry for that analogy. You have to be a bit of a masochist to enjoy Iowa State football. Looking forward to that, but looking forward to March even more...
More good stuff on here...
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/iowa-st-cyclones/bracketology
Sorry for that analogy. You have to be a bit of a masochist to enjoy Iowa State football. Looking forward to that, but looking forward to March even more...
More good stuff on here...
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/iowa-st-cyclones/bracketology
