I agree with the notion of UNI being more likely to pull upsets week 1 compared to other weeks during the season. By week 3 your roster starts wearing down with injuries, fatigue, etc and with the less scholarships they have it plays a factor. If UNI was playing Iowa week 1 I would pick the Panthers to win but not the 3rd game of the year.
Iowa by double digits.
I personally think it'll be a close one.