COLUMN: How COVID-19 will change college football forever
- Thread starter ChrisMWilliams
- Start date
Do we get to a point where say, on July 1 (just an arbitrary date), the suits get together and form a new college football league for one season only? They put all of the programs that are able to play in a pile, sort them out geographically (it makes sense to not have thousands of players and coaches flying around the country every weekend), and create an NFL-type of system with divisions for one year only?
I think this is the most likely scenario, if there's any CFB at all.
I think this is the most likely scenario, if there's any CFB at all.
It does exist....That probably felt good to publish.
And just imagine it ain't just football this whole event is changing forever. That's a bit player to a huge event.
And don't sell your selves short... There are no super "smart" people in the rooms that can magically make the right decisions. Letting a few people dictate things is how we find ourselves in this mess. We all know far more than you may give yourselves credit. Lots of really successful people are not that smart and vis-versa, there are a ton of really smart people that you might consider unsuccessful.
And just imagine it ain't just football this whole event is changing forever. That's a bit player to a huge event.
And don't sell your selves short... There are no super "smart" people in the rooms that can magically make the right decisions. Letting a few people dictate things is how we find ourselves in this mess. We all know far more than you may give yourselves credit. Lots of really successful people are not that smart and vis-versa, there are a ton of really smart people that you might consider unsuccessful.
One thing that I think is worth discussing is that CW called CFB a “mega business”. The top 25 CFB programs brought in an estimated 2.5 billion gross profit in 2019. For comparison Principal Financial Group also made 2.5 billion gross profit for 2019.
I think CFB gets overvalued. It’s certainly not a “mega business”. Apple made 264 billion last year. That’s a mega business.
I think CFB gets overvalued. It’s certainly not a “mega business”. Apple made 264 billion last year. That’s a mega business.
I can see the PAC saying it's an all or nothing scenario for their members, with it ending up being the "nothing". But then wanting some $ from the conferences that do play. I think that part will be interesting too- how do conferences handle the financial aspect of having teams that play and teams that don't.
We must closely look at what transpires from the Elon Musk actions. That is, are safe distancing requirements legal? That, in itself, will be a juggernaut of 'rights' vs 'well-being' on so many levels. We've already forced smokers outside because of the health implications of second hand smoke (pseudo social distancing). There's an ever-growing audience claiming wireless technology as dangerous which, because it is pervasive by design, will hang in the very balance of what is determined by the virus case. In the end money will claim its democratic role; meaning enough people will be fiscally impacted that they mandate majority rule. We all can choose what risk we're willing to accept in order to feed our families. Isn't that nature of war? Life, in every facet, is risk vs reward. I believe, as a society, we'll say "I've got to take the risk to get back to work."
There could be some real scheduling headaches if you have some leagues playing and some not. Or even worse with a mix of teams within a league.
Also seems inevitable that a team that plays will end up getting hit with Covid at some point. Then what? Are those games postponed and played later, or just canceled?
Any plans that result in football being played this season will make for an interesting ride!
Also seems inevitable that a team that plays will end up getting hit with Covid at some point. Then what? Are those games postponed and played later, or just canceled?
Any plans that result in football being played this season will make for an interesting ride!
LOL.
PFG:
https://www.principal.com/about-us/our-company/company-overview/key-financials
performance food group company(stats you quoted)
https://investors.pfgc.com/press-re...-Nine-Months-Fiscal-2019-Results/default.aspx
I think Chris hit the nail on the head with the Pac XII and Arizona schools. I would watch that very closely for any early indications.
Did you know California is separate from the rest of the Country for JUCO sports? I don't know when or how that came about but I'm sure they were too special to play by the same rules as the rest of us.
Did you know California is separate from the rest of the Country for JUCO sports? I don't know when or how that came about but I'm sure they were too special to play by the same rules as the rest of us.
You should look at the difference between Gross Revenue and Profits. Gunner was pretty close with the profit number.
I think it is also worth considering that there may be a large dip in college enrollment in the 2020-2021 school year. How many families are going to be comfortable sending their kids off on their own for the first time while this pandemic is still not under control? And if the schools go all digital, I imagine many students will explore community college, or the local university instead of something halfway across the country.
If enrollment in university dips a few percent nationwide, that would lead to more budget cuts campus wide including athletics. Add to that the massive budget hits that states are taking during this pandemic, many state universities may see reduced funding in the next few years.
If enrollment in university dips a few percent nationwide, that would lead to more budget cuts campus wide including athletics. Add to that the massive budget hits that states are taking during this pandemic, many state universities may see reduced funding in the next few years.
I know of someone locally whose child is accepted into a very prestigious university. I think they will encourage him to take a gap year if there's any risk he wont be on campus. No sense paying big school tuition for online classes.
You are right about enrollment potentially dipping I think the schools who go all online are going to get killed with drops in enrollment numbers. However, athletic departments at least i know for sure ISU and Iowa are both completely self sufficient. I am pretty sure that's the same for all universities with a power 5 football team if I remember right from one of the talks I hear pollard give. They receive no funding from the state/university.
Question, Gunner. You seem like a smart guy and I am genuinely curious about the following ... is there any way to quantify college football's impact on local economies nationwide? Then factor in the money flowing through media deals, contracts, etc.? I guess that's where I was coming from with my analysis, not the literal place you took it.
You are 100 percent right when you put it like that.
That's going to be tough to quantify, but there's definitely a local economy value.
And IMO, those hits are coming no matter what. If any fan attendance is allowed (i'm doubful in most places), it'll be limited, so the local economies will take a hit regardless of whether the games are played.
I mean what is Ames without ISU and to a lessor effect what is ISU without a (football or basketball program)? They have a huge effect on what you would call these college towns. I mean Rutgers probably doesn't have much effect but still some.
If you want to expand out on CW's article just think about what going on-line could have an effect on Colleges in general? It's absolutely a potential game changer and not in a good way for many people, but in the end could be very beneficial.
If you want to expand out on CW's article just think about what going on-line could have an effect on Colleges in general? It's absolutely a potential game changer and not in a good way for many people, but in the end could be very beneficial.
