I've been saying all year that we weren't a top 5 team. I've always thought we looked like a 12-15th ranked team or so.
As far as the Big 12, I see a 3rd place finish about the highest we can get, but I'd love to be proven wrong by these guys.
The NCAA tourney is a total crapshoot. It's all about matchups and some luck. We could lose in round one again, or make the Final Four with everything going our way. Too hard to predict the NCAA IMO.
Fact is... we lost Hogue, BDJ, Edozie, and now Naz Long off of last year's team.... and basically all we've added is Cooke and Burton. So, this year's team is worse than last year's. I believe it was even when we still had Naz, but it was closer at least.
A key going forward is what kind of player Burton wants to be? Is he going to stand out at the 3 point line and launch 3's all night, or is he going to post up down low and dominate down there with all his physical gifts? If he does the latter, we can be pretty darn good and he can more than make up for he loss of Hogue. If not, we'll be worse off than last year for sure.