Iowa dual 2024

iastatefan1

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Jan 24, 2016
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Here are the chances of an ISU win at each weigh imo.

141 - 80%
285 - 70% - I probably give Keuter a better shot than most, but Yonger should win
125 - 60%
149 - 55% - Parco probably the favorite on paper, but I like AE to win the TD battle.
133 - 45% - not overreacting to an Ayala loss when Frost can’t even make weight. We’ll know more after the all star
157 - 45% - Paniro will be right there. Needs to steal a takedown and avoid the dunk.
184 - 40% I think this is our best shot at an upset. Expect a 1 td match
197 - 25% - pretty decent odds for a freshman against #1.
165 - 1%
174 - 0%
Agree pretty close with this, a little nitpick, but I'd have frost higher, just feel like he'll get his weight right and be ready. Also if gaitan goes, I would have that more like 25%-30% isu. I'd have caroll lower than 25% though.
 

matclone

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The common stanford result doesn't mean much honestly, we will likely have different guys at 33, 41, 57, probably 65, hwt, and maybe 125. 3 of which are all americans, frost, swid, bastida. And one more Johnson who is proven in freestyle to be near that level. And a more proven guy at 65. Iowa is just very good this year and have bought several studs. Long terms is buying rentals and losing depth/dev guys gonna bite them idk.
Ech was AA too. So we have four.
Also NQ's at every weight except 165 and 197. 125 and 165/174 still seem to be up in the air.
 

iastatefan1

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Ech was AA too. So we have four.
Also NQ's at every weight except 165 and 197. 125 and 165/174 still seem to be up in the air.
I was referring to lineup difference from Stanford to Iowa, ech wrestled against Stanford. 65 might be gaitan who is nq.
 
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crablegs

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That seems very dramatic haha.
Really I’m not sure I even buy the explanation. What is bigger punishment, missing the dual, or going out there and suffering the consequences of a bad weight cut against a very tough opponent?
 

CyCity

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Really I’m not sure I even buy the explanation. What is bigger punishment, missing the dual, or going out there and suffering the consequences of a bad weight cut against a very tough opponent?
I guess I’d trust the judgement of the guy who developed a no name recruit into an All American as a freshman. This is a marathon, not a sprint.

I’d suggest going to a chalk talk sometime before a dual and listen to Dresser walk through the strategy behind not only what’s going on with the lineup that night, but things behind the scenes as well.
 

crablegs

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I guess I’d trust the judgement of the guy who developed a no name recruit into an All American as a freshman. This is a marathon, not a sprint.

I’d suggest going to a chalk talk sometime before a dual and listen to Dresser walk through the strategy behind not only what’s going on with the lineup that night, but things behind the scenes as well.
I’ve been, but was not at this one. I agree it’s a marathon, not a sprint. But explain to me the justification of sitting him for “punishment” but having him go out there and suffer through a right off the scale match after a bad cut? Sitting him seems more like a bonus/reward then a punishment.

If you’ve ever had to wrestle a d1 opponent an hour off the scale with a terrible cut, you’d know that is going to be a miserable experience.
 

CyCity

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I’ve been, but was not at this one. I agree it’s a marathon, not a sprint. But explain to me the justification of sitting him for “punishment” but having him go out there and suffer through a right off the scale match after a bad cut? Sitting him seems more like a bonus/reward then a punishment.

If you’ve ever had to wrestle a d1 opponent an hour off the scale with a terrible cut, you’d know that is going to be a miserable experience.

Ask Dresser. I think I’ll trust him on Frost and any decisions he makes with him.
 

TheJackWePack5

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Watched Iowa/Stanford. My quick thoughts on how we match up.

125 - still no idea here, both on who we will have out there and no idea how Peterson will look for Iowa. So toss up.

133 - if weight is under control, it’s a winnable match. Toss up.

141 - similar to 133 in regards to weight under control, but if it is I think we’re favored here.

149 - two of the best in this weight class going at it. Parco is very good on top, could be a factor. Ech better on his feet. Toss up.

157 - tough spot for a guys first folkstyle dual match up in quite sometime. Against an NCAA finalist in Carver. Think he can hang in there, but the Sun Devil is favored.

165 - regardless of if it’s Euton or MJ I think we’re significant underdogs here. Caliendo is good and has a great tank on him. Tough spot for MJ if it’s his first match at 165.

174 - if Iowa puts Brands out there, I think Riggins can keep it close and you never know how it can turn out if it’s a 1 TD match. Underdogs.

184 - Arnold has looked great for Iowa, I think this match up is very close either way. Arnold is a short 184, but I don’t think Bockman is particularly tall either and he is strong. Will be closer than most think. Arnold more explosive but Bockman is seasoned.

197 - Pains me to say it, but I think this is the longest shot of any of our match ups. CC was feeling it in the 3rd against Stemmet, and Buchanan has looked very good late in first few duals. Closer match in March.

285 - Yonger. Everyone will talk about this being an upset possibility, I’m not buying it.
 

Tigerguy_

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125 ISU if Osmany it might be 6-0
133 ISU Frost got the message loud and clear
141 ISU Casey has been awesome this year
149 ISU if Ech can keep Redding from taking the spot amiright Crabby?
157 ISU Paniro this year is better than Chittum last year
165 Iowa but I watched mj against Minnesota and he looked like a superstar. He always has a chance.
174 it’s going to be a one takedown match either way, hope familiarity helps us out.
184 Iowa regular decision
197 when Carroll goes he’s as explosive as anyone in the weight class. I know he can take Buchanan down in the first period, can he get enough distance to hang on in the third to win.
285 Yonger all day

Should be fun, hopefully.
 

TheJackWePack5

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125 ISU if Osmany it might be 6-0
133 ISU Frost got the message loud and clear
141 ISU Casey has been awesome this year
149 ISU if Ech can keep Redding from taking the spot amiright Crabby?
157 ISU Paniro this year is better than Chittum last year
165 Iowa but I watched mj against Minnesota and he looked like a superstar. He always has a chance.
174 it’s going to be a one takedown match either way, hope familiarity helps us out.
184 Iowa regular decision
197 when Carroll goes he’s as explosive as anyone in the weight class. I know he can take Buchanan down in the first period, can he get enough distance to hang on in the third to win.
285 Yonger all day

Should be fun, hopefully.
Kysen going back down makes it seem as though we won’t see Osmany for awhile?

Also, what do you mean about MJ and Minnesota? Threw me off there.
 

Cyclonewrestlingfan2022

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125 ISU if Osmany it might be 6-0
133 ISU Frost got the message loud and clear
141 ISU Casey has been awesome this year
149 ISU if Ech can keep Redding from taking the spot amiright Crabby?
157 ISU Paniro this year is better than Chittum last year
165 Iowa but I watched mj against Minnesota and he looked like a superstar. He always has a chance.
174 it’s going to be a one takedown match either way, hope familiarity helps us out.
184 Iowa regular decision
197 when Carroll goes he’s as explosive as anyone in the weight class. I know he can take Buchanan down in the first period, can he get enough distance to hang on in the third to win.
285 Yonger all day

Should be fun, hopefully.
Couldn’t agree more than this. If Carroll can have a gas tank in the 3rd period I think he has a great shot at Buchanan
 
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blindstallion

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What would be you guys best guess for start time for the Iowa dual? What would the earliest time be? And when do you think they will announce the official time?