When I read the OP I thought the same thing. I could see 84 being closer than people think. Lofthouses have a tendency to disappoint.
And this Iowa fan is thrilled he lives in central Iowa and gets CycloneTV.
At least Ethen isn't as disappointing as Luke was, but Luke was never ranked #2. There are a bunch of question marks with Beard (due to his time off) is he going to be able to go hard for 7 minutes versus a highly ranked guy from a rival school right away? If it were up to me, I'd hold off and send Weatherspoon out there for this one.