Have to root for KSU. If KU and KSU split, Iowa State could still get swept by KSU if all other games among those 3 teams go "as expected." If KU wins, ISU would have to gain a split vs. KSU, under same scenario.
Using mred w/ projected winners
Kansas wins at KSU
1. Kansas (14 - 4) Defeated Iowa State based on record against #3 teams.
2. Iowa State (14 - 4) Lost to Kansas based on record against #3 teams.
3. Kansas State (11 - 7) Defeated Baylor and Texas Tech based on record against #1 teams.
4. Texas Tech (11 - 7) With Baylor, lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 teams. Defeated Baylor based on record against #6 teams.
5. Baylor (11 - 7) With Texas Tech, lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 teams. Lost to Texas Tech based on record against #6 teams.
6. Texas (9 - 9) Defeated TCU based on record against #1 teams.
7. TCU (9 - 9) Lost to Texas based on record against #1 teams.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 12)
9. Oklahoma State (3 - 15)
10. West Virginia (2 - 16)
KSU def. Kansas
1. Iowa State (14 - 4)
2. Kansas (13 - 5)
3. Kansas State (12 - 6)
4. Baylor (11 - 7) Defeated Texas Tech based on record against #1 teams.
5. Texas Tech (11 - 7) Lost to Baylor based on record against #1 teams.
6. Texas (9 - 9) Defeated TCU based on record against #2 teams.
7. TCU (9 - 9) Lost to Texas based on record against #2 teams.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 12)
9. Oklahoma State (3 - 15)
10. West Virginia (2 - 16)
Obviously, a whole lot of other things can happen beyond this game, but it's a way to simplify the paths.
Using mred w/ projected winners
Kansas wins at KSU
1. Kansas (14 - 4) Defeated Iowa State based on record against #3 teams.
2. Iowa State (14 - 4) Lost to Kansas based on record against #3 teams.
3. Kansas State (11 - 7) Defeated Baylor and Texas Tech based on record against #1 teams.
4. Texas Tech (11 - 7) With Baylor, lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 teams. Defeated Baylor based on record against #6 teams.
5. Baylor (11 - 7) With Texas Tech, lost to Kansas State based on record against #1 teams. Lost to Texas Tech based on record against #6 teams.
6. Texas (9 - 9) Defeated TCU based on record against #1 teams.
7. TCU (9 - 9) Lost to Texas based on record against #1 teams.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 12)
9. Oklahoma State (3 - 15)
10. West Virginia (2 - 16)
KSU def. Kansas
1. Iowa State (14 - 4)
2. Kansas (13 - 5)
3. Kansas State (12 - 6)
4. Baylor (11 - 7) Defeated Texas Tech based on record against #1 teams.
5. Texas Tech (11 - 7) Lost to Baylor based on record against #1 teams.
6. Texas (9 - 9) Defeated TCU based on record against #2 teams.
7. TCU (9 - 9) Lost to Texas based on record against #2 teams.
8. Oklahoma (6 - 12)
9. Oklahoma State (3 - 15)
10. West Virginia (2 - 16)
Obviously, a whole lot of other things can happen beyond this game, but it's a way to simplify the paths.