I like to look at the minutes per position/group.
1, PG - Emily will get 36+ again. Not worried too much here with filling the other 4 minutes to get to 40 minutes in a game. However, I'm slightly worried about the decision fatigue that, in my opinion, she suffered from that led to turnovers.
Here's a fun fact - in 2021-22 Emily Ryan had no games against non-Texas teams with more than 5 turnovers. In 2022-23 she had 5 games. (3 games against Texas in 21-22 and 1 game in 22-23 where she had more than 5 TO)
We've been scouted. So much of our offense is based on Emily getting to certain spots to initiate. That gets disrupted by full-court pressure, and other teams know it. Usually Emily handles it well, but we saw some stints where she made some uncharacteristic turnovers.
2-4, Guards and Wings - Just Ny is returning here. And her 20 minutes per game last year were a big chunk playing out of position at the 5. Was expecting close to 80 of the 120 minutes filled between her, Lexi, and Denae. But instead we're at more like 10-15 out of 120 (depending on Ny's split of minutes between the 5 and wing).
Yeesh. So, we've got 90% of the minutes to replace by freshman, possible minute growth from Ny, and potential transfer(s).
I love the little bit of tape I've seen of Brown and Bristow.
5, Post - This one is also tough to project. Lots of variables. If we can get a veteran post transfer to come in and average mid-teens minutes a la Beatriz Jordao in 21-22 that would be a godsend.
I'm hopeful that Izzi can make a jump in minutes and production similar to Morgan Kane did after 2 full seasons of spot minutes. I noticed she was moving with a lot more confidence later in the year. I forget what game it was (might have been home against Texas), but there was a rebound she made when she was boxing out and actually exploded up and to the side to secure the ball. I love seeing those improvements.
We need her to get close to 20 minutes at the 5. For that to happen she really needs to improve at individual post defense. Opposing teams instantly go at her when she's in because she fouls. That's common for a backup post, but we need her to adjust.
The same fear of post defense is there for me for incoming Audi Crooks. It's simply something that she has not needed to do. The game action I've seen of her makes it obvious that she was coached to not foul and conserve energy to stay on the floor as close to 100% of the game as possible.
I'm hopeful that we get a serviceable transfer here. A minutes guess like this if that happens -
16 - Izzi
14 - Transfer
5 - Ny
5 - Audi
Otherwise we'll need Ny to commit more like 12 minutes at the 5, and a few minute bumps for each of Izzi and Audi.
Maybe Bristow could also play here too. She's very long like Diew.
I think it's going to be a fun season and am looking forward to seeing the team come together over the next 8 months.