I'm going to start updating the Lock/Bubble list more often as we are closing in on the end of the season. New teams to the list get added in bold. Locks are underlined. Most small conference teams wont be locks until the end of the conference tournament season.
WAC - Louisiana Tech (1) - Upcoming Big games on Feb. 28 - Utah State, March 7 - New Mexico State, March 9 - Denver. All three are in the top 4 of the WAC. Would need to win all three to cause even a minor stir for an At-Large birth. Ranked #25 in the AP poll.
Sun Belt - Middle Tennessee (1) - Have a chance to be an At-Large team. To be safe, they should win their conference tournament. Final Games: Feb 28. At Troy, March 2. AT Western Kentucky
WCC - Gonzaga (1)
Bubble: Saint Mary's - Pushing them back to the bubble due to wins by major conference bubble teams. Saint Mary's Final Games: At Pepperdine, vs. Santa Clara. Saint Mary's ranked #23 in the Coaches Poll.
SWAC - Southern University (1) - Class of the SWAC. Does that mean anything?
Summit - South Dakota State (1) - 3 teams still duking it out for the conference championship. Currently, SDSU is in front.
Southern - Davidson (1) - Need to win the Southern Conference.
Southland - Stephen F. Austin (1) - Need to win their conference tournament to get in.
SEC - Missouri, Florida (2)
Bubble - Ole Miss, Kentucky, Tennessee - Tennessee has come out of nowhere to get itself on the bubble. They are currently on a 6 game winning streak having defeated Florida and Kentucky during that span. They do have some terrible losses to Georgia, Arkansas, and Alabama. They also have lost to fellow bubble team Ole Miss twice. They have 3 more games left: At Georgia, At Auburn, Vs. Missouri. All those games are very winnable.
Patriot - Bucknell (1) - Need to win their conference tournament.
Pac-12 - Arizona, UCLA, Oregon (3)
Bubble: California, ASU, Colorado - California just needs one more win and they become a lock.
Mountain West - New Mexico, UNLV, San Diego State, Colorado State, (4)
Bubble: Boise State - Defeated Air Force. Still have upcoming games against (Colorado State, SDSU, UNLV). Win those games, and they are in. BPI 54, SOS 96, RPI 45. Decent numbers.
Northeast - Robert Morris (1)
OVC - Belmont (1) - Still have a slim chance at an At-Large, but would be best for them to win the conference tournament. Final games: Vs. SIUE, Vs. JVST - know nothing teams.
MEAC - Norfolk State (1) - Still perfect in conference
Missouri Valley - Wichita State (1)
Bubble: Creighton, Indiana State - Creighton will probably only be here temporarily. They better beat Bradley, and hang tough versus Wichita State. Lose both games and there could be some trouble.
MAAC - Niagara (1)
MAC - Akron (1) - Feb 27. Akron vs. Ohio. Akron #24 in the Coaches Poll
Bubble: Ohio - Huge game, Feb.27 - Akron. Could not get the win over Belmont. Need the win over Akron.
Horizon - Valparaiso (1)
Ivy - Harvard (1) -
CAA - Northeastern (1)
Conference USA - Memphis (1) - The streak is over! 18 games straight is insane. Lost to Xavier tonight. Still, they are in.
Big Ten - Michigan, Wisconsin, Indiana, Michigan State, Ohio State, Minnesota, Illinois (7)
Big West: Long Beach State (1) - Will need to win the Big West to get into the tournament
Big Sky - Montana (1) - Will need to win the Big Sky tournament.
Big South - Charleston Southern (1)
Big East - Syracuse, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Georgetown (7)
Bubble: Cincinnati, Villanova - Villanova is a head scratcher. Beat Marquette then lose to Seton Hall? Cincinnati is sliding at the very wrong time. They have lost 5 out of their last 6 games, though they have defeated fellow bubble team Villanova.
Big 12 - Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State (3)
Bubble: Oklahoma, ISU - ISU got cheated out of a win. Still, just one more win and they are assuredly in.
Atlantic Sun - Mercer (1)
ACC - Duke, North Carolina State, Miami, North Carolina (4)
Bubble: Virginia- An expected win at Georgia Tech. Need more.
Atlantic 10 - Butler, VCU, Saint Louis, La Salle (4) -
Bubble: Temple, Xavier - Temple has now won against La Salle and Charlotte. Next up is VCU. Just need to keep winning. Welcome back Xavier. Left for dead after their loss to Dayton and VCU, tehy come back and beat #19 Memphis.
America East - Stony Brook (1)
57 Locks. 18 Bubble teams for 11 spots.