WHAT HAS CHANGED
The first change that was made was reducing the portal entry window from 60 days to just 45 days. This was done in hopes to condense the cycle for recruiting college coaches who also have to hit the road in the spring to recruit high school prospects.
But, the change with the biggest ramifications is coming as the results of some December lawsuits that attacked NCAA's rule of that made players who transferred multiple times ineligible.
After multiple states filed lawsuits against the NCAA, the organizing body passed a preliminary injunction that immediately granted eligibility to multiyear transfers through the end of the spring sports period.
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN
Because of these changes, we will likely see another large portal class. We will see more multi-year transfers than years before since there is no fear of punishment. so, a lot of players may enter the portal to leverage in negotiations with NIL collectives since this is now total legal by NCAA standards.
So, don't be surprised if you start seeing some notable players this year — especially ones that transferred previously — hit the portal during this cycle only to eventually pull their names out of the pool. As it stands today, the transfer portal is a way to potentially drive up a player's "marketability" in addition to helping other players find new homes.
The lawsuits are still ongoing as they seek permanent change with the NCAA and with the first result, although temporary, seemingly everyone from college coaches down to those helping these student-athletes make decisions are operating under the assumption that you will be able to transfer this cycle, regardless if you transferred perviously, and be allowed to play next season.
There was also another recent change this 2023-24 season that will impact how the portal operates.
On March 1, the NCAA sent out a letter to member schools stating that they are going "to pause and not begin investigations involving third-party participation in NIL-related activities."
In other words, NIL collectives and others involved in the NIL marketplace will be allowed to directly communicate with transfers during the recruiting process as long as it is in compliance with state law.
WHAT TO EXPECT
The days leading up to next Monday can be viewed as the transfer portal's "soft opening".
For starters, when a coach gets fired, players are given a 30 day window to enter the portal. As a result, we already see players from school looking for new coaches in the portal. Also, grad transfers are permitted to enter at any time. So as the low and mid-major conference tournaments conclude, you will see more and more graduate players hit the portal.
Once the portal officially opens next week, it'll predominantly be a storm of the mid to low-major players entering the portal. Their seasons would have been done for day, meaning they would have had time to make this decision.
You will also see a decent amount of high-major players entering during this time but only from teams that were not selected the day before to play in the NCAA Tournament.