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Right but you have indications/signs. And it’s a bad sign for future performance.You said “teams that lose pre conference games to worse teams are more likely not to be very good”
All the team I mentioned lost a pre conference game to worse teams. And there are dozens and dozens more. Remember, just a lot every year we can play a game where we can show how a division II school theoretically was the best team because team A beat team b, team b beat team c, etc. My point being you can’t prove anything after a single game in November.