3-6 against the top 100 isn't bad compared to other bubble teams. It would put us squarely on the bubble most years, and on the "in" side of the bubble in this really weak bubble year. (or, just where we thought we were)
our wins against RPI top 100 is not good.
- Thread starter theyork
- Start date
I'll be sure to put them in their place too. To quote Denny Green, "They are who we thought the were".
I once saw him pass an entire box of free kittens with out so much as breaking stride.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
We are ISU. We have some reason to be pessimistic. If we win 3 more we are 100% lock. If we only win 2 more, we're probably 60/40, IMO.
To your point, we definitely do not have a great resume, but we do have a solid resume in a year where there are not a lot of great teams.
To your point, we definitely do not have a great resume, but we do have a solid resume in a year where there are not a lot of great teams.
No one is really taking into account the wildcard of the conference tournament results. The more teams that get in because they won a conference tournament (that have at large teams in their conference) the less open spots there will be. If there are several of those and we finish with 20 wins I will be very nervous - the fewer there are the better things will look. So.... basically we need to win 22 games (including conference tournament) and make it too difficult to not pick us.
Forde pretty much summarizes what a lot of us think: As long as ISU doesn't stumble (without a "balancer" such as winning @KSU/@Mizzou) there shouldn't be any extreme worry.
But there's still a chance of a stumble. That's what causes a little anxiety.
I still think 21 gets ISU in with a decent level of comfort. But if there is a massive amount of auto-bid shock in conferences with at-large locks like you describe, it's back to sweating a bit.
22 wins and it's over-the-hump with certainty —*4-1 from here, regardless of W-L combination, because of our current resume and remaining teams on the schedule.
I really think that is accurate but disingenuous.
Record vs top:
1-5 ISU is 1-1 -- very good
6-11 ISU is 0-3 -- neutral because they're so high
12-50 ISU is 1-1 -- fine.
51-65 ISU is 1-1 -- would be nice to be 2-0 but Drake was very early in the season.
65-100 ISU is 0-0 -- this really skews the "wins vs. top 100" stat.
100-125 ISU is 3-2 -- not great but . . .
126-330 ISU is 12-0 -- taking care of business.
- Jun 20, 2006
- 39,428
- 24,746
- 113
I agree with this post.. there just isn't a lot of opportunity for us to play the Top 50 ......
-keep
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
I guess the only thing to do is fire Fred and lock him away before he gives us hope again.
Avoid hope and you avoid all of the problems that go with it.
Avoid hope and you avoid all of the problems that go with it.
Pat Forde likes ISU to make the tourney. Just need to take care of OU and Tech and we SHOULD be in. (video below.)
Projecting the NCAA tournament field of 68 - College Basketball - Rivals.com
Projecting the NCAA tournament field of 68 - College Basketball - Rivals.com
