REALISTIC expectations for 2023 football season

[Pope]

As we head into the spring game, I'm trying to decide what my realistic expectations are for the 2023 season. Below is the schedule.

Given that...

1. we have 5 conference road games and just 4 conference home games
2. we don't get to play against Texas Tech, West Virginia, Houston, and Central Florida
3. we're coming off a 1-8 conference record last year

... I'm already starting to temper my expectations.

The good news is that I think Matt Campbell teams tend to perform the best when expectations are not real high.

Realistically, I'm hoping we can find at least 6 wins and get to a bowl game. Ideally, though, I'm hoping we can shock the Big 12 and the nation.

What is your realistic expectation?

• Sept. 2 – UNI
• Sept. 9 – Iowa
• Sept. 16 – at Ohio
• Sept. 23 – Oklahoma State
• Sept. 30 – at Oklahoma
• Oct. 7 – TCU (Jack Trice Legacy Game)
• Oct. 14 – at Cincinnati
• Oct. 28 – at Baylor
• Nov. 4 – Kansas (Homecoming)
• Nov. 11 – at BYU
• Nov. 18 – Texas
• Nov. 25 – at Kansas State

 

[NWICY]

Bowl game.

 

[2020cy]

National championship? I kid I kid. The first 3 and KU, hopefully a couple more but that schedule is tough.

 

[Allikat]

I expect 7-5 with 8-4 more likely than 6-6. I will be disappointed with anything less than six wins.

For what it is worth ESPN has us about 6-6.

ESPN Power Index

 

[LeaningCy]

Expecting 4-8, hoping for 6-6

 

[Gunnerclone]

my probability would look like this:

4-8: 33.3%
5-7: 33.3%
6-6: 33.3%

 

[Jkclone15]

Bowl game

 

[isutrevman]

6-6

 

[xboxfever]

They could win anywhere from 0-15 games.

 

[Pope]

I expect 7-5 with 8-4 more likely than 6-6. I will be disappointed with anything less than six wins.

For what it is worth ESPN has us about 6-6.

ESPN Power Index

Would love to know what 7 games you're expecting us to win.

 

[JustAnotherTimeline]

As we head into the spring game, I'm trying to decide what my realistic expectations are for the 2023 season. Below is the schedule.

Given that...

1. we have 5 conference road games and just 4 conference home games
2. we don't get to play against Texas Tech, West Virginia, Houston, and Central Florida
3. we're coming off a 1-8 conference record last year

... I'm already starting to temper my expectations.

The good news is that I think Matt Campbell teams tend to perform the best when expectations are not real high.

Realistically, I'm hoping we can find at least 6 wins and get to a bowl game. Ideally, though, I'm hoping we can shock the Big 12 and the nation.

What is your realistic expectation?

• Sept. 2 – UNI
• Sept. 9 – Iowa
• Sept. 16 – at Ohio
• Sept. 23 – Oklahoma State
• Sept. 30 – at Oklahoma
• Oct. 7 – TCU (Jack Trice Legacy Game)
• Oct. 14 – at Cincinnati
• Oct. 28 – at Baylor
• Nov. 4 – Kansas (Homecoming)
• Nov. 11 – at BYU
• Nov. 18 – Texas
• Nov. 25 – at Kansas State

• Sept. 2 – UNI - W
• Sept. 9 – Iowa - L - should have lost last year - hawks might have a capable qb
• Sept. 16 – at Ohio - W
• Sept. 23 – Oklahoma State - W - no more sanders
• Sept. 30 – at Oklahoma - L
• Oct. 7 – TCU (Jack Trice Legacy Game) - W
• Oct. 14 – at Cincinnati - L - bad setup - they will be 0-2 going into this game
• Oct. 28 – at Baylor - L
• Nov. 4 – Kansas (Homecoming) - W
• Nov. 11 – at BYU - L
• Nov. 18 – Texas - W - cold weather shocker for bowl eligibility
• Nov. 25 – at Kansas State - L - let down loss with better bowl on the line

so....6-6

 

[laminak]

6-6 and a bowl game will meet my expectation this year.

 

[TheJackWePack5]

We will win 5 to 7 games.

 

[Al_4_State]

As we head into the spring game, I'm trying to decide what my realistic expectations are for the 2023 season. Below is the schedule.

Given that...

1. we have 5 conference road games and just 4 conference home games
2. we don't get to play against Texas Tech, West Virginia, Houston, and Central Florida
3. we're coming off a 1-8 conference record last year

... I'm already starting to temper my expectations.

The good news is that I think Matt Campbell teams tend to perform the best when expectations are not real high.

Realistically, I'm hoping we can find at least 6 wins and get to a bowl game. Ideally, though, I'm hoping we can shock the Big 12 and the nation.

What is your realistic expectation?

• Sept. 2 – UNI
• Sept. 9 – Iowa
• Sept. 16 – at Ohio
• Sept. 23 – Oklahoma State
• Sept. 30 – at Oklahoma
• Oct. 7 – TCU (Jack Trice Legacy Game)
• Oct. 14 – at Cincinnati
• Oct. 28 – at Baylor
• Nov. 4 – Kansas (Homecoming)
• Nov. 11 – at BYU
• Nov. 18 – Texas
• Nov. 25 – at Kansas State

UNI - Win
Iowa - Toss up
Ohio - Win
OK State - Win
OU - Loss
TCU - Loss
Cincy - Win
Baylor - Loss
KU - Win
BYU - Loss
Texas - Loss
KSU - Loss

Have to beat Iowa or grab an upset to go to a bowl. I think this team is capable of doing that and I kind of expect them to, even though on a game by game basis I can't pencil in 6 wins.

 

[longdriveforsom]

If the offense only slightly improves I'm guessing 5-7. If we find a consistent running game and the defense doesn't take a step back 9-3

 

[trevn]

This board will be next level toxic if we only win 3 or 4 games. I'm thinking 5-7 is where I would start and then hope for a few upsets.

 

[Pope]

• Sept. 2 – UNI - W
• Sept. 9 – Iowa - L - should have lost last year - hawks might have a capable qb
• Sept. 16 – at Ohio - W
• Sept. 23 – Oklahoma State - W - no more sanders
• Sept. 30 – at Oklahoma - L
• Oct. 7 – TCU (Jack Trice Legacy Game) - W
• Oct. 14 – at Cincinnati - L - bad setup - they will be 0-2 going into this game
• Oct. 28 – at Baylor - L
• Nov. 4 – Kansas (Homecoming) - W
• Nov. 11 – at BYU - L
• Nov. 18 – Texas - W - cold weather shocker for bowl eligibility
• Nov. 25 – at Kansas State - L - let down loss with better bowl on the line

so....6-6

So you're realistically expecting us to beat National championship runner up TCU? Hmmm

 

[CascadeClone]

Wins: UNI, Ohio, KU
Losses: OU, Bay, BYU, Tex, KSU (rough last 3 games)
Toss-ups: Iowa, OSU, TCU, Cincy

Looks like 5-7 to me. However, would not be surprised if they pulled a W out of one of the L list, and go bowling. CMC usually good for an inexplicable road victory.

That said, I didn't renew my season tix after over a decade. So probably the special teams will win them 4 close games, Dekkers will go all-world, and they will win 10 games. That would be my luck.

 

[JustAnotherTimeline]

So you're realistically expecting us to beat National championship runner up TCU? Hmmm

Max Duggan was the heart of that team. Also, that team could easily have been 9-3 with all of their comeback wins. This TCU team will come in to Trice undefeated on the tails of the expectations and excitement from last year. They will be a bit of a paper tiger, yet still quite good. It will be a Campbell top 10 W special in honor of Trice. Mark it down.

 

[brokenloginagain]

I don't think expectations are nearly low enough. The OP lays it all out - tough schedule, more road games.

I don't think a new coach can fix an OL in 7 months.

3-4 wins. Still optimistic long term, but more growing pains ahead, in my view.