These very good programs rarely sign top 20 classes........West Va,Va Tech, Wisco, Iowa and Boston College off the top of my head. Ga Tech, CU (decent classes not top 15) Nebbie (same as CU) and even PSU have never been the recruiting elite yet have won NC's.
The aforementioned are also (with the exception of West Va) well over 20 plus NFL alumni, and pretty talented year to year. So I have a very hard time thinking you "can't" win big regularly with lessor ranked classes. Honestly the ranking system for the top 25 teams is so political and skewed to the usual suspects, that it, in and off itself is as big a reason as any that the rich stay in NC contention till the end. Utah was very good last year, yet they didn't get a chance. Now you can debate all you want they weren't in UF & OU's league, but they crushed Bama with "defense" and it would have been a good game.
Until the same 15 teams are forced to drop at least 10 places after their 1st loss and even farther after their second, then yes it will be tough for the other very good teams to compete for NC‘s.
When a 2 loss LSU (who lost to a very average 7-5 Arkansas & Kentucky) can win a NC then you’ll never convince me there weren’t several teams on any given day that could have beat them in an NC game.
Watch the polls close, when Georgia, Florida OU etc, etc, etc…………….lose a game they drop 6 or 7 places or so. Sometimes less if the pollsters deem it a good enuff opponent. Last year Georgia was number 3 and got humiliated by Bama yet dropped to 11th in week 5. They continued to hover around 8-10 until a week 10 beat down by UF that dropped them to 14th ?!?!?! Are you serious?! Fix this and you’ll have a fairer chance for “others” to win. That same Georgia got ran all over by Ga Tech, and then beat a MSU team that you guys told us was terrible in an uninspiring game that was even closer than I thought it would be. The Bulldogs finished in the top 13?.…………Now I like Georgia and Mark Richt, but color me skeptical.
Also for you ISU & Iowa fans that think you need 4 stars kids to win big, you better get used to losing. Our two teams will never sign consistent top 15 classes. And yes I am a optimist. I just know it won’t happen but we can still win a lot regardless
Chad