Call me crazy, but I don't see why we couldn't compete for a Big XII title. We are currently tied for third and we almost knocked off the two teams ahead of us. I think we can play with anyone in this league. Just keep winning and March will be a fantastic month.
Call me crazy, but I don't see why we couldn't compete for a Big XII title. We are currently tied for third and we almost knocked off the two teams ahead of us. I think we can play with anyone in this league. Just keep winning and March will be a fantastic month.
ease up on the kool aid, top 3 teams are pretty separated from the rest of the pack. I don't see us winning the regular season title, but if we made a tourney run,maybe...
Conference games being more important does not mean those are not bad losses. When you are likely to be on the bubble, all losses have huge opportunity costs, especially losing to MVC teams. You have a much, much better chance to reach the tournament with a .500 conference record if you turn two losses to average MVC teams to wins.
Agree, but I feel we will be on the bubble at the end. When you are on the bubble, losses to UNi (at home) and Drake will be used against you
This is the first year in a long long long long time that I am jacked up for the Big 12 tournament.
Brings up a huge 3 game stretch. Win at Texas and Hilton will be insane next Saturday (well it will be anyway)
Sounds good, hope this post is prophetic.Also, I'm 99% sure that if we go 10-8 in conference our RPI and power ratings will be good enough to get us in. 9-9 puts us squarely on the bubble. The bubble field just isn't that strong this year, and it's getting worse almost daily. Lunardi's latest "Last 4 In" field (from 6 days ago) had Memphis, Cincinnati, Northwestern, and BYU in it...and all four of those teams lost games this week that (other than Cincinnati, perhaps) were severe blows to their resumes. Hell, BYU lost to Loyola Marymount at home.
14-5 (4-2)
@Texas W*
KU W*
KState W
@OU L*
@OSU W
TAMU W
@BU L
OU W
Tech W
@KState L*
@Mizzou L
BU L*
21-10 (11-7)
*I see these games as toss up games.
We get at least 1 in the Big 12 Tourney and I think we're in.
I dont think this team can get in by losing the last 3 games.
I think ISU is going to have to win 11 games or more if it wants to get into the dance. ISU's RPI is bad, they have no quality wins outside of conference and only one "good" loss against Michigan, and while the Drake loss looks "better" than when it happened at the time, the UNI loss looks worse weekly. Our weak-arse nonconference schedule may end up costing a tournament appearance if ISU doesn't finish well above .500 in conference.
In the future ISU needs to up the ante for it's nonconference schedule.
I think the selection committee would take into account the schedule if they saw that three game losing streak. I really think Fred could pull out one of those games though.I dont think this team can get in by losing the last 3 games.
I think the selection committee would take into account the schedule if they saw that three game losing streak. I really think Fred could pull out one of those games though.
From what I've heard and read from "the experts", a team's record over its final ten games has the most bearing on whether it goes dancing or not. Games in Nov. are discounted unless it was a win over a top ten team, or a loss against a bottom ten team. Neither UNI or Drake fall into those two categories and those losses won't count a whole lot against the Cyclones. At least not enough to counter the weight of playing in the Big 12 conference even in a down year. The win against Texas, IMO, counts more than the loss vs. Drake. If ISU doesn't make the NCAA tourney, it will be due to factors besides the UNI and Drake games.Our RPI is not terrible, it is in the 50's and we have many many opportunities to make it better. Teams get in a lot with RPI's higher than that. Teams also get left out with RPI's in the 40's but not often.
Just have to take care of business at home, beat OU, OSU on the road and we will be fine.
We have a great great chance to get in. The non-conference schedule is a non issue if we win 11 Big 12 games. Clearly it wasn't that bad or our RPI would be worse.
If we are 10-5 or 11-4 before we lose the final 3, we can and should absolutely get in.
14-5 (4-2)
@Texas W*
KU W*
KState W
@OU L*
@OSU W
TAMU W
@BU L
OU W
Tech W
@KState L*
@Mizzou L
BU L*
21-10 (11-7)
*I see these games as toss up games.
I will be VERY pleasantly surprised if we win the next 3 games. Heck...I'd be happy with 2-1.
I think we have a better shot to beat Baylor at home than KU IMO.
We get at least 1 in the Big 12 Tourney and I think we're in.