Yeah, definitely something worth monitoring. Don't think I'll be picking them to be upset first round, but will have to make a decision about advancing them to the 2nd weekend.
Trendy upset picks you aren’t buying? Upsets you think will happen?
- Thread starter dahliaclone
- Start date
Drake isn't happening, the darling upset picks never come true and Slow-paced team historically do poor in march madness outside of a few outliers like Virginia (they did lose to a 16 seed as well)
my upset pick is VCU over BYU. VCU plays tough defense, and I think BYU can struggle against someone that doesn't let them get open shots like Houston did to them in the tournament.
my upset pick is VCU over BYU. VCU plays tough defense, and I think BYU can struggle against someone that doesn't let them get open shots like Houston did to them in the tournament.
I think Drake's pace is going to infuriate Mizzou. I also don't think Mizzou is a great defensive team. It kinda reminds me of our game against UAB, but with less of a talent gap.
The advanced metrics/stats are part of that too. Coaches have better intel on what they should worry about, and when they are better in different situations - it isn't just "gut feel" anymore.
I don't know about this gap necessarily. NIL if anything has reduced it so far. Schools like VCU shell out more for NIL than some P5s do, possibly even Iowa State
I think Jacob Ognacevic goes off and Lipscomb upsets Iowa State.
Odds and statistics are in your favor for this choice. I like filling out 2 brackets. 1 chalk, and 1 with some craziness to it.
On the Drake Mizzou game, I haven't looked into it much yet, but if Mizzou is run and gun and very guard heavy I think Drake matches up well. If Mizzou has a semi dependable big man or athletic wings, I don't think Drake has a prayer.
It's not a first round upset, but Louisville v Auburn in round 2. It really should be a sweet 16 matchup based on the team strengths but Lexington might as well be a home game for Louisville.
It's not a first round upset, but Louisville v Auburn in round 2. It really should be a sweet 16 matchup based on the team strengths but Lexington might as well be a home game for Louisville.
Get this man a job at ESPN
I was just about to mention Auburn-Louisville in Lexington. That was an absolute hose-job by the committee. I still think Auburn gets by Louisville, but I also would not be terribly surprised is Auburn gets taken out by a virtual home game for Louisville.
Memphis who struggled with both Wichita State and Tulane is, imo, not getting past a Colorado State who’s rolling now. VCU another one. High Point because it’s funny if Purdue loses in round 1 again. UCSD could surprise Michigan, who’s playing better now, but has had some close calls too.
I'm probably wrong but I'm going with Louisville to E8. Get their first two games in Lexington.
That is a very favorable draw for them. I guess color me skeptical because they fed on a weak ACC all season. But playing devils advocate to myself, this Creighton team is somewhat underwhelming also.
I am really struggling with Michigan and UCSD. Michigan is playing much better but UCSD causes the most turnovers in the country and Michigan is turnover prone.
I gotta go with UCSD and VCU for sure. Their NET and KP ratings are actually very high and very close to both BYU and Michigan.
I gotta go with UCSD and VCU for sure. Their NET and KP ratings are actually very high and very close to both BYU and Michigan.
