***UCONN Predictions***

CycloneErik

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Jan 31, 2008
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Look at the numbers.

vs. Drake 6-19 from deep (32%)+ 14 turnovers = 9 point Loss

vs. UNI 4-18 from deep (23%)+ 10 turnovers = 7 point Loss

vs Texas 5-18 from deep (28%) + 13 turnovers = 6 point loss

Watch those games. 3-point shooting was just a symptom of our poor team play, but not the whole story. Lifeless, disinterested play crept in a lot in those first two, a total lack of teamwork for long stretches in all 3. Bad 3-point shooting, but that stat just reflects the overall failure that we put on the floor in those games.
 

Cyclonestate78

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May 23, 2008
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Watch those games. 3-point shooting was just a symptom of our poor team play, but not the whole story. Lifeless, disinterested play crept in a lot in those first two, a total lack of teamwork for long stretches in all 3. Bad 3-point shooting, but that stat just reflects the overall failure that we put on the floor in those games.

You can start to see a pattern though. Look at the Kansas win in Ames.

vs. Kansas 7-17 from deep (41.2%) + 19 turnovers = 8 point win

Our efficiency shooting 3's was up but our turnovers were up as well. Those numbers most likely would have led to a certain loss for ISU. The key factor that overcame this....

Kansas put ISU on the line for 34 FT attempts which has to be the most all season. ISU actually converted on 25 of those shots. Game changer. Had that not been the case based on the large number of turnovers even the increase in 3-point efficiency wouldn't have been enough to push ISU over the top.
 

CycloneErik

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You can start to see a pattern though. Look at the Kansas win in Ames.

vs. Kansas 7-17 from deep (41.2%) + 19 turnovers = 8 point win

Our efficiency shooting 3's was up but our turnovers were up as well. Those numbers most likely would have led to a certain loss for ISU. The key factor that overcame this....

Kansas put ISU on the line for 34 FT attempts which has to be the most all season. ISU actually converted on 25 of those shots. Game changer. Had that not been the case based on the large number of turnovers even the increase in 3-point efficiency wouldn't have been enough to push ISU over the top.

Look at how the team changed overall by conference play. You can see that pattern reflected in the 3-point shooting, but the shooting doesn't drive the pattern.

Our guys started to play together, play harder, and stats like that went up.

I'm not denying that the three is a huge part of our team. I'm saying that the % only provides one piece of the puzzle when our team plays well, rather than that being the engine that drives the train.
 

Cyclonestate78

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May 23, 2008
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Look at how the team changed overall by conference play. You can see that pattern reflected in the 3-point shooting, but the shooting doesn't drive the pattern.

Our guys started to play together, play harder, and stats like that went up.

I'm not denying that the three is a huge part of our team. I'm saying that the % only provides one piece of the puzzle when our team plays well, rather than that being the engine that drives the train.

My main point was in reference to "Hot dog Man's" comment that we must shoot 40% from 3 to have any chance to win against Uconn. If ISU turns the ball over more then 10 times the 3-point percentage will need to be above average for ISU to win most likely. If ISU can limit turnovers then ISU can have a below average 3-point precentage and still have a chance to win the game.

The number of turnovers combined with our 3-point shooting efficiency is a big factor in the outcome of games for ISU this year.
 

CycloneErik

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My main point was in reference to "Hot dog Man's" comment that we must shoot 40% from 3 to have any chance to win against Uconn. If ISU turns the ball over more then 10 times the 3-point percentage will need to be above average for ISU to win most likely. If ISU can limit turnovers then ISU can have a below average 3-point precentage and still have a chance to win the game.

The number of turnovers combined with our 3-point shooting efficiency is a big factor in the outcome of games for ISU this year.

Our two arguments can play well together there.
 

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