There was some talk on the radion this morning of the possibility of a big storm blowing in any time from Sunday night into Tuesday. What are the weather gurus on here seeing with their models?
Weather thread needed for 1/9-1/11?
- Thread starter wartknight
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Too early to tell. One model run showed 12+ inches of snow across most of the state, the next run (same model) showed 1-2 inches of snow across most of the state.
Don't look now, but for the following weekend they are talking about a Siberian clipper slamming into the northcentral US. In Minnesota they are talking about possible temps (not wind chills, temps) of -20 in the Twin Cities and -40 in northern MN. I haven't heard what that would mean for Iowa. That's still a week and a half away, but they have said that all of the models at this point are pretty consistent.
Air mass to you straight from the North Pole.:swoon:
Air mass to you straight from the North Pole.:swoon:
Yup. Don't need it. Or at least not yet.
Funny thing with all (I think) of the storms this year is that they have all been clipper-type or other weird systems that have made it a little more tricky to determine how much moisture would be available and other things. All have been diving in from the WNW or tracking right over the state. Much more nuanced and a pain in the neck to forecast.
Haven't had a nice, classic, southen low track for that textbook storm. This one could develop that way, but doesn't look ominous right now.
And who doesn't love a nice, classic, southern low textbook storm? :swoon:
Keep up the good work FDWxMan!
clone52 summed it up with the idea of way too much discrepancy in the models thus far. My current intuition is that this event will end up being a dud for more people than it will be a good storm...
So do I. But those numbers add up to maybe negative single digits for central Iowa, and that's not unheard of for highs.
I heard it on the radio, but here is their blog. Scroll down a bit. It's a little hard to read but it appears that the highs are around 20 for central Iowa which could put the lows around minus middle single digits to middle teens with the predicted cloudless nights.
Updraft | Minnesota Public Radio
By the way, I got the term wrong; they call it a Siberian Express.
Again, way out, but still could be a fun weekend for us up here if it pans out.
So, if you are standing at the North Pole, which way is South? You have five seconds.
Right now the bulk of the storm passes to our west and south, would need 1 or 2 things to happen for a larger storm. Looks less impressive than the past few model runs than it did before.
1. The northern stream trough to be a bit further east, this has been shown by some of the models on and off and would lead to a longer duration of light to moderate snow.
2. The northern and southern jets phasing, this has also been shown on and off by some models, the precip would likely last less time but be of a heavier nature if this was too happen.
1. The northern stream trough to be a bit further east, this has been shown by some of the models on and off and would lead to a longer duration of light to moderate snow.
2. The northern and southern jets phasing, this has also been shown on and off by some models, the precip would likely last less time but be of a heavier nature if this was too happen.
