2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

[cyatheart]

It's Jerry Palm who is one of the worst bracketologists in the country.

He always has tons of errors. Total hack.

 

[rosshm16]

It's all about the engagements these days, don't have to be right.

 

[alarson]

Which, by the way, makes that .1 second late buzzer beater sting just a bit more, as we'd be tied right now, and would have the tie breaker too.

Baylor kinda ****** us twice, both with that and failing to close the deal with Houston in Waco.

 

[cyatheart]

I’m curious what the reasoning is behind offensive efficiency increasing nationwide this late in the season?

My gut is most teams get better offensively as guys gel and things slow down. Not uncommon.

 

[cyatheart]

While watching one of the late games last night they did their Lunardi clip about seeding and a question out of the blue was raised that if Iowa State won the big 12 tourney and tied for the regular season championship would they deserve a one seed? Joe answered without hesitation and almost arrogantly (paraphrasing) "NO! You can't have a team with a non-con in the 300's be a one seed

I don't think that's wrong.

 

[rosshm16]

Who knew that non-con SOS is the single most important factor in seeding?

 

[CychiatricWard]

Saw this on Reddit...

To this day, no clue why auburn gets the love they do.

 

[alarson]

Saw this on Reddit...

I really question a lot of the teamratings on there.

 

[MeowingCows]

Saw this on Reddit...

Auburn

 

[werdnamanhill]

I don't get what people see in Michigan State. They have decent analytics and stuff, but their wins are no better than Iowa's..

 

[NWICY]

If we get bounced early it’s likely because of our ineffectiveness in the half court, which has been a weakness since TJ got here. It is what it is, it’s hard to do everything well. To get to a final four however, I do think we will eventually have to get better offensively in the half court. I don’t think we are there yet.

Agreeing with you, but it is improving. Imo.
He's established his culture and is expanding what it needs. We have the most offensive weapons this yr than we have in the 2 previous seasons.

 

[Clone95]

We had the #39 offense in the country after Houston and now have #68 after a 4 game win streak including 2 Quad 1 wins. Our lowest scoring outputs all season, 57, 58, and 60 were all wins. This team defies the numbers.

 

[rosshm16]

We are also closing in on the #1 defense on Kenpom. Currently it's Houston with an 89.2 AdjD and Iowa State with 89.4.

 

[interrobang]

We are also closing in on the #1 defense on Kenpom. Currently it's Houston with an 89.2 AdjD and Iowa Staet with 89.4.

Yeah our defense has been clearly the best in the country over the last 10 games.

 

[NoCreativity]

Yeah our defense has been clearly the best in the country over the last 10 games.

View attachment 125208

The biggest takeaway from that graphic is Nebraska is playing good defense? Shocking.

 

[NWICY]

The biggest takeaway from that graphic is Nebraska is playing good defense? Shocking.

In the B1G it's like being the tallest midget in the room

 

[interrobang]

Just saw this posted on Reddit as well. Wouldn't have guessed we would have the best rotation by quite a large margin.

 

[Sigmapolis]

Still a great Big 12 season despite losing the last game like that. Didn't surprise me to be honest. K-State isn't a bad team, they have a chance to sneak into the tournament if they go on a little run, and the Octagon of Doom isn't an easy place to play that's historically not been good to the Cyclones.

 

[CyPunch]

Torrvik has KState in Dayton with a Wednesday win over Texas in KC

 

[CascadeClone]

"beat the pants off our preseason projection of 9 Big12 wins" - love the touch of informal silliness snuck in with all the stats and math

I thought they'd be 11-7, and thought that was optimistic. Just about everything has come together for this team as well as you could hope. Gilbert and Cujo both better than I thought. The bigs got better. Chill much better as a freshman than I'd thought. Lipsey can shoot now.

Let's hope they can sort the offense and make a little run in the tournaments.