Anybody worried about Huggybear and WVU?

[Jiub]

I asked chatgpt (DAN) who would win. The AI said Iowa State Cyclones will beat the West Virginia Mountaineers 85-80 and the star of the game will be a clutch Iowa State point guard (didn’t name who) who scores 30 points and dishes out 10 assists.

Use this information as you will.

 

[ComCY]

I feel a lot better with healthy Grill and Jaz back in the rotation. If we play the way we have all season, no doubt we'll have a chance to pull out a hard-fought W.

 

[ComCY]

I asked chatgpt (DAN) who would win. The AI said Iowa State Cyclone will beat West Virginia Mountaineers 85-80 and the star of the game will be a clutch Iowa State’s point guard (didn’t name who) who scores 30 points and dishes out 10 assists.

Use this information as you will.

Lipsey scoring coming out game?

 

[clonefreek]

I am worried about every single road game...

 

[simply1]

Lipsey scoring coming out game?

I think it’s been AI’d into an Eli King fan bot.

 

[Thomasrickj]

Ehhh, every team in the country has bad losses. Even those teams fighting for 1 seeds right now.

There's a difference between a bad loss and blowing a 20+ point lead in the second half.

 

[simply1]

There's a difference between a bad loss and blowing a 20+ point lead in the second half.

Yep, the 20+ point blown lead loss was a quad 1 so better.

 

[CentexCyclone]

I asked chatgpt (DAN) who would win. The AI said Iowa State Cyclone will beat West Virginia Mountaineers 85-80 and the star of the game will be a clutch Iowa State’s point guard (didn’t name who) who scores 30 points and dishes out 10 assists.

Use this information as you will.

 

[Remo Gaggi]

WVU favored by three. Lay the points and cash in.

 

[cyfan92]

Is my analysis wrong to say that if we can stop Erik Stevenson, our chances to win go up drastically?

Top 3 items to watch as an ISU fan:

1) Slow or stop Stevenson
2) Keep WVU off the offensive glass
3) Take care of the ball

If Grill and Gabe can give Stevenson the Marcus Carr treatment, Lipsey doesn't have a Tech repeat, and our team rebounds well. I think we win by 5-7.

 

[bawbie]

Is my analysis wrong to say that if we can stop Erik Stevenson, our chances to win go up drastically?

Top 3 items to watch as an ISU fan:

1) Slow or stop Stevenson
2) Keep WVU off the offensive glass
3) Take care of the ball

If Grill and Gabe can give Stevenson the Marcus Carr treatment, Lipsey doesn't have a Tech repeat, and our team rebounds well. I think we win by 5-7.

I think that's about right, with two additions:
1) I'm not super worried about Stevenson, he's a good matchup for Gabe. But he has been hot - he scored ~10ppg his first 7 BigXII games, and has scored 24.5ppg his last four, with 15 made 3s
2) I feel pretty good about this one - but it is a huge key. In their 3 BigXII wins they are over 40% OBR, in the 7 losses they are < 35% in all of them (except the OT loss @KSU)
3) If no other stats are crazy outliers, it probably comes down to which team has fewer TOs.

adding:
4) WVU doesn't get super hot from 3 (< 8 made 3s)
5) Limit the # of FTAs for WVU to something sane (<30)

 

[coolerifyoudid]

Is my analysis wrong to say that if we can stop Erik Stevenson, our chances to win go up drastically?

Top 3 items to watch as an ISU fan:

1) Slow or stop Stevenson
2) Keep WVU off the offensive glass
3) Take care of the ball

If Grill and Gabe can give Stevenson the Marcus Carr treatment, Lipsey doesn't have a Tech repeat, and our team rebounds well. I think we win by 5-7.

Also, limit their 3s and FT attempts as much as possible.

I'd advise staying away from the game thread. I envision TJ needing to play BRE playing a lot of minutes due to foul trouble for Shoon. Our depth will be needed to pull this one off tomorrow.

 

[cyfan92]

Agree that #4 should be keep WV off the free throw line.

1) Slow or stop Stevenson
2) Keep WVU off the offensive glass
3) Take care of the ball
4) Keep WV off the free throw line

If you can do 2/4, it'll be CLOSE; 3/4 you win; 4/4 and it's a comfortable win

If anyone get's hot from 3.. They probably win no matter the arena (ISU meltdown at Tech excluded)

 

[WastedTalent]

There's a difference between a bad loss and blowing a 20+ point lead in the second half.

Not really. A loss is a loss. Blowing a 20 point lead on the road sucks, but so does losing at home to Rutgers (Purdue) and losing at home to Temple (Houston).
I would say the win vs KU did more to improve our resume, than the loss to Tech did to hurt it.

 

[isutrevman]

Listening to the corner 3 podcast with the WV guy. Reminds me of the Nevada folks before we played them in the NCAA tournament last year. Makes every player on their roster sound like a future NBA lottery pick.

 

[isufbcurt]

I think that's about right, with two additions:
1) I'm not super worried about Stevenson, he's a good matchup for Gabe. But he has been hot - he scored ~10ppg his first 7 BigXII games, and has scored 24.5ppg his last four, with 15 made 3s
2) I feel pretty good about this one - but it is a huge key. In their 3 BigXII wins they are over 40% OBR, in the 7 losses they are < 35% in all of them (except the OT loss @KSU)
3) If no other stats are crazy outliers, it probably comes down to which team has fewer TOs.

adding:
4) WVU doesn't get super hot from 3 (< 8 made 3s)
5) Limit the # of FTAs for WVU to something sane (<30)

I disagree about Stevenson. I've watched him have good defense on him and still hit shots. He's the key - he drives and draws fouls, he hits tough shots, he hits 3's, he pushes in transition. He makes them go without him they are hot garbage.

 

[ZRF]

We've had leads of at least 5 in all of our conference losses yet had pivotal stretched in all of them that contributed to the loss. At KU it was the sequence of 4 or 5 straight TOs/empty possessions. With OSU it was their defensive extensions and uncharacteristic 3 point shooting in the 2nd half. Tech was....well...Tech.

Even in our wins we had large leads only for them to evaporate. The home team will have it's runs but we need to avoid being our own worst enemy for a stretch. Limit TOs, take good shots, weather the storm.

With Grill back and effective, and with Kunc in the rotation, I like our odds. It will be telling to see if WVU pressures Lipsey, how he handles it, and if he shows he can take (and hit) some midrange shots.

What I like about this game is that it's on a Wednesday and comes after a relatively "easy" win against KU. That's 4 days between games and the previous game was home.

I think we win this game by 5-7. A loss wouldn't surprise me, but I'd like to think Kunc, a healthier Grill, and experience will help us avoid our previous road issues.