A 70 team model isn’t a super league, it is the current system. If/when the ACC falls that still doesn’t change anything.
I think your one of those people that believes that greed is above all in cfb (can’t blame you there) so in what world does the P2 take a massive pay cut to balance out the revenue of the other leagues? If they aren’t taking a massive pay cut then it’s just the same system we have now. Also what school is going to want to voluntarily leave the P2 for a new conference making less money? You can’t recreate the system sadly without the P2, even if it’s best for cfb. So I don’t see a path where this works unless I’m missing something.
You are right in that. The 70+ team ideas floating out there is not exactly a Super league. It is a complete reorganization of the system currently in place. This could be a possible outcome if the the NCAA completely falls apart. Which is a possibility.
The idea of a super league to me is somewhere in the middle between 30 and 70, probably in the area of 48 teams to at least to start. But it is not just the SEC and B1G combined. If it is a true super league, then no way they include teams like Vandy or Rutgers. This is also a possible system.
The other ideas out there, like the SEC and B1G break away, are also possibilities, but I dont consider that or some of the others a formation of a "super league". Just changing the current system, kind of like going from the BCS to the playoff and/or creating the P5 and G5.
I am not sure how likely any of these scenarios are, but the chances are more than zero. I also dont know have a good idea of how soon something like this happens. My feeling is at least not until the current contracts are expired or close to it.
The possible scenarios also depend on who is driving the change, being the media partners, the conferences, or a team/s. Because of all the scenarios out there, it is better for one or the other depending on the scenario.