Everyone is entitled to their opinion...but your just assuming we'd have three straight north division titles and three straight bowl games (insight.com) at worst...I sure would be happy if that would've happened, but it's kinda tough to just sit here and assume that would've happened given...we'll say the last 100 years here...that's a good question alaska, I'll say above average hire, but not great...using the ability of hindsight, I'd have canned him before his final 4-8 season...I too sat in the stands depressed as hell watching us blow the Missouri game for the north title and numerous other close games that we played "not to lose"...but in the last 20 years, I can name only Greg Schiano at Rutgers, Gary Barnett at Northwestern, and Bill Snyder at K-State who's program's have started as low as us, and done more than us.
It wasn't that far out of the realm for McCarney, so definitely possible for a good coach. A handful of plays, and 99 turns into a 7 win season. If the coaches don't curl up into the fetal position against K State, and get to 4-0, that team would have would have been bowling. Any confidence (and playcalling) allows for wins over CU, at KU, and possibly UT. It was a prime example of a coach losing games on the sidelines that his players won on the field.
Then, assuming again, a good coach would have had his team ready to play against A & M in 2000. And they weren't great that year, 7-5. Then you get a bigger bowl, more money, recruits, etc.
Then we beat A & M in 01 (thanks Dan, way to keep trying field goals as we missed 4 that day), 8-3 = Insight at worst.
It's not a stretch to think that if we were playing good football we could have won the North 2-3 times over the past 5 years. It was soooo bad, that we almost won it twice with Dan the mediocre coaching us. A well coached, well disciplined team would have won those two, possibly 06 as well.
In terms of the quality of hire. Gene Smith spent more time trying to hire Tim Floyd than he ever did on this one. I knew we were in trouble when the only thing that he could say was how he had been a part of two turnarounds, so he knew what it took. But then he couldn't give any vision for what he planned to do.
And, don't kid yourself 12, Gene Smith kept him around after 98 because he beat Iowa. Gene wanted the hell out of Ames, and he needed a bowl game. Firing this mediocre coach, would have set that timetable back 2-3 more years. He saw that there were more and more bowls, so at some point he had to make one.