I think you made a stupid bet, but I hope you win. I wonder if many of the posters projecting a huge victory follow college football in any way shape or form because anyone who does would realize that history is really stacked up against us to win by 21 points.
First, in the last five years, N.D. State has played four Division I opponents. In 2006, they beat Ball State 29-24 and lost at Minnesota 10-9. In 2007, they beat Minnesota 27-21. In 2008, they lost at Wyomin 16-13. In short, they are 2-2 against I-A teams in the last three years and their biggest loss was by 3 measly points.
Second, North Dakota State in simply much better than the South Dakota team we beat last year as they play in Gateway conference. I think we all know our record against Gateway teams is far from perfect.
So, while I certainly hope you win, I don't think this is a solid bet. If we beat them by more than 21 points it will say a great deal baout our team and our new staff. That ssaid, I could see us winning 5 to 6 games this year even if we don't blow them out by 3+ touchdowns. If we do win BIG, it will probably have at least soemthing to do with half of their team being out for DUI's and thuggery.