I agree 100% that OU will be tough but to actually predict a loss at Hilton to anyone but KU is literally going against the odds. If you want to make a gun-to-your-head prediction like that go ahead.
New Schedule - Season Prediction Time!!!
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I agree 100% that OU will be tough but to actually predict a loss at Hilton to anyone but KU is literally going against the odds. If you want to make a gun-to-your-head prediction like that go ahead.
Oh I definitely agree that both of those teams are very good, I just don't see us losing at Hilton. I also agree Oklahoma will be very tough. Lon Kruger has got them headed upwards. Appreciate your insight, you seem to be very knowledgeable.
I certainly could see a loss at Hilton, two may be a stretch. If ISU wound up with 6 losses and got swept by Teaxas and OU, I'm not sure a 2 seed would happen. But maybe.
I'd be interested to see your predictions. Whether I agree with them or not, I enjoy seeing the perspective of outside fan bases.
Our three toughest opponents are all on the road: UF, UK, and ISU. Last year we swept UK in Fayetteville and Rupp and lost to UF in our one matchup in overtime.
Although I have us losing all three of those games and finishing with 23 to 26 wins and a top 25 finish, I do not think that it's unrealistic to think we'll find a way to go 1-2 in those games. Kentucky being the toughest, then ISU, then UF in my opinion.
History isn't super relevant. I basically looked at the matchups, gave the home team an advantage, and picked a couple of games against the grain (because there always are a couple).
Anyway, I predicted y'all to finish ranked around 10th and to win the Big XII tourney and go to the Elite 8. Moreover, I think y'all are the second best team on our schedule.
As I said, picking ISU at home would be perfectly reasonable against OU and UT though.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
I don't see us losing in the nonconference schedule at all, and I think we beat Kansas this time for the undefeated home record again.
Losses at Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma, and a couple of surprises seem pretty likely places for the defeats to happen.
Losses at Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma, and a couple of surprises seem pretty likely places for the defeats to happen.
I'm hoping for 13-5 in conference at worst this year. Losses @ KU, UT, KSU, and OU, and then 1 more somewhere that shouldn't happen. I don't see us losing at home at all or more than 1 game at all in the noncon. I'd take 4-6 losses on the year in a heartbeat. That's usually good enough for a very high seed
Schedule absolutely sucks. There is exactly 1 game before January that is decent, Arkansas, and they aren't even that good it should just be a high scoring game. Of course they tried to get better games but struggled to get them on the sched. Just a bummer to have such a blah home sched.
I'm on board with the undefeated non-con schedule. I really think we get it done. But then, we'll find a way to lose early in Big 12 play - which will help the guys relax a bit since they're not carrying the undefeated streak. Sort of like last year where we lost at Oklahoma even though we had no business losing to that team.
I'm going to say we lose @KU, @K-State, @OU, @Texas, and one more in there somewhere to go 13-5 in the league. By my count, that would put us at 25-5 (13-5) and probably the 2-3 seed in the Big 12 tournament (which we will win, AGAIN).
On another note - we have a serious chance to do something that's never happened in ISU history before. For all of our "great history" in basketball (hey, it's way better than football and I grew up in the Orr-Floyd-Eustachy eras), we have NEVER made the tournament 4 years in a row. Ever.The best part about Hoiball is that I don't see a year in sight where we DON'T make the tournament. This is the best time ever to be a Cyclone Basketball fan.
I'm going to say we lose @KU, @K-State, @OU, @Texas, and one more in there somewhere to go 13-5 in the league. By my count, that would put us at 25-5 (13-5) and probably the 2-3 seed in the Big 12 tournament (which we will win, AGAIN).
On another note - we have a serious chance to do something that's never happened in ISU history before. For all of our "great history" in basketball (hey, it's way better than football and I grew up in the Orr-Floyd-Eustachy eras), we have NEVER made the tournament 4 years in a row. Ever.The best part about Hoiball is that I don't see a year in sight where we DON'T make the tournament. This is the best time ever to be a Cyclone Basketball fan.
I think it would be more accurate to describe that loss at OU as a springboard to a pedestrian 11-7 conference record.
I have 1 loss in the noncon and 6 in conference. I do believe there will still be some gel time in conference due to the return of McKay. I also think I am being generous with 1 noncon loss, I actually think it will be 2, maybe some like Maryland people are just counting as a win.
I think we beat K-State on the road this year, and I don't think we lose more than 1 in the non-con. I expect us to slip up once in the non-con, but have faith that George, Monte, Hogue and Naz, especially, will keep focused for all games.
Iowa, IMO is at least one. I could see a loss in one of the neutral court games. Don't see us losing to the razorbacks. I know you said history doesn't matter but Fred has never lost to a team at home outside the top 10. It's not that it can't happen, but I'm certainly not going to start expecting it.
Also Arkansas is the only team worth getting excited about on the home schedule in the noncon. It will be a packed and excited crowd for a highly anticipated game.
Good luck though I like Arkansas and I really like Anderson. I actually emailed our AD and asked him to hire him the year mizzou hired him. We went on to the worst stretch in Iowa State modern history and mizzou was one of the most exciting teams in the nation. Ce la vie
Yeah, I've got it penciled in as a loss but I think we have a chance. I suspect you'd take two out of three or maybe even three out of four against us this year in Ames. You'd probably take 2/3 or at least 3/5 on a neutral court. I think we would take 2/3 at Bud Walton against you.
I'm just excited to have quality noncon road games this year at Ames and Dallas.
Hey Razor — I was going to dabble in the prediction for Arkansas; you've made reference to predictions like 24-7, etc., adding up to 31 games. When I reference official sports site, I see only 30 games (12 non-conf, 18 SEC) ... is there a non-conference game missing from it?
Source:
Arkansas Basketball 2014-15 schedule
I don't want to omit a game, rendering my projection null and void. Or, to borrow from Carl Showalter (Buscemi) in "Fargo": "I wanna be in compliance."
:smile:
The 31st game is "unofficial." It's at home against Nichols State. I don't know why it hasn't been officially announced, but my understanding is that we are playing that game in Fayetteville as game # 31.
Nichols St - W
Wake Forest - W
Delaware State - W
@SMU - W
North Texas - W
Iona - W
@Iowa State - L
@Clemson - W
Dayton - W
SEMO - W
Wis-Mil - W
Northwestern - W
Utah Valley - W
Conference
@Georgia - L 0-1
Vandy - W 1-1
@Tennesse - L 1-2 (and some fringe morons calling for Mike's head)
Ole Miss - W 2-2
Alabama - W 3-2
@Mizz - W 4-2 (the idiots start to go back under the rocks)
Tennessee - W 5-2
@FL - L 5-3 (the idiots come back up for daylight for the last time and call for Anderson's head)
South Carolina - W 6-3
Miss State - W 7-3
@Auburn - W 8-3
@Ole Miss - L 8-4
Missouri - W 9-4
@Miss State - W 10-4
Texas A&M - W 11-4
@Kentucky - L 11-5
@South Carolina - L 11-6
LSU W 12-6
OOC 12-1
Overall 24-7
Finish in the top 25with about a 5 slot in the tourney, give or take. Wins at UGA, SC (a team that I look to be very dangerous) and/or Tennessee would be do-able and improve our positioning.
Our three biggest games are all on the road -- UF, UK, and ISU. Winning any one of those would really make it a great season. Absolutely possible. If we win one (or two) of those games, I think we'd have a top 10 season.
Auburn is obviously a somewhat unknown commodity. How much better can they be right off the bat?
