This is an honest question, and I hope we can avoid a total flame war.
Lots of debate about Rhoads lately and I've been in the thick of it. What I want to avoid is the money talk. It definitely has a place in ISU's ability to compete as a program but is irrelevent in determining whether Rhoads will be back or not for 2016. I think most will agree 2015 will likely be make or break, and the benchmark will be bowl eligibility.
Here's what we know, we do lose some players. I think there are really only 3 guys that we lose that we don't have clear replacements for, and that is Farniok, Bibbs, and Morrissey. Bibbs IMO is mitigated by the fact that we will have a stable of good, proven WR's who can play at this level. Morrissey is maybe offset some by the emergence of some guys like Pierson or Taylor but they aren't at his level yet.
Here are areas I think we need to see significant upgrades or improvement:
OL: IMO the most difficult with the loss of Farniok. Sam unable to stay healthy again after 12 sacks in his last 3 games. Running game significantly worse than it was last season.
RB: I don't know if this is a function of the line, the scheme, or the talent but these guys just don't even seem to be factor.
DL: Enough has been said about this group.
LB: You have to hope Harris or Meeks can step into the middle. Ferch/Brackins fill needs to be identified, and although I like Knott he should have some serious competition for his spot.
CB: Suitable alternative to the spot across from Tribune would be good, and Nigel needs to improve in press coverage.
My question is, who do we have coming back from injury or coming in that we can reasonably expect these position units to compete a level that could get us to 6 wins. Non conference is UNI, Iowa, @Toledo, all winnable games and they likely need to win them all.
I think the OL might be okay next year. There are several guys coming back that have played a lot of snaps, including a couple that were lost for the season early on with injuries. Would like to see big Wendel and Williams in the OL, at least on short yardage situations.
RB: this is actually a pretty talented group, but the lack of a downfield passing attack has really limited them. Also, the OL is just not quite in sync for some reason.
LBer and DL are a huge concern. DL will have a bunch of new options with RS/injured players coming on board. This is a position that desperately needs an upgrade, but at least there is hope there with the new blood coming on board. LBers are what worry me the most, as they have been the position that has looked the worst this year, and there is no one coming back that the unit can be built around. Better DL play would certainly help the LBers. They have been trying to fill too many gaps that are more like caverns the last few games.
I think that, with a lot better luck on injuries/retention ISU will make a bowl next year, but they will need to make some changes in the defensive coaching staff to get some form of defense on the field.