Bowl Projection USA Today

ClonesInDallas

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Dec 16, 2020
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Orlando would be my first choice. Memphis would be my last. Orlando is a pricey trip, but a lot warmer by a few gigawatts than Memphis.

Orlando was an extremely pricey trip last time I went and is BY FAR the most boring "destination city" I've ever been to. But of course I'll probably cave in this weekend and schedule the trip if we go there, especially to support our seniors in their last game and Campbell for sticking around.
 

CYme

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If OK State gets into the playoffs, would BU go to Sugar and OU possibly get at large to Fiesta? That would put us in line for Alamo potentially, that would be my choice.
 
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theshadow

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Tonight's rankings give a better idea of how the NY6 may shake out.

Sugar (Big 12 vs. SEC): Oklahoma State or Baylor vs. Alabama or Ole Miss
Rose (B1G vs. Pac-12): Ohio State vs. Oregon/Utah winner

Fiesta/Peach (ACC champ, at-larges): Pitt/Wake Forest winner, Notre Dame, Michigan State; Ole Miss (if not in Sugar) or BYU
 

KidSilverhair

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Dec 18, 2010
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I feel sorry for you guys going to Orlando if Michigan beats Iowa this weekend. You all will have to share that city with those losers.

Isn’t Iowa going to the Rose regardless?

Michigan wins: Michigan goes to the playoff, Iowa gets the B1G Rose Bowl spot

Iowa wins: Iowa isn’t making the playoff, they go to the Rose Bowl as B1G champs

Edit: I guess you’re saying if Michigan goes to the playoff the Rose would take Ohio State. Fair. I see that.
 

Mr Janny

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Isn’t Iowa going to the Rose regardless?

Michigan wins: Michigan goes to the playoff, Iowa gets the B1G Rose Bowl spot

Iowa wins: Iowa isn’t making the playoff, they go to the Rose Bowl as B1G champs
I don't think it works the same way in the Big 10. If the Big 10 champ goes to the playoff, the Rose bowl isn't required to select the loser of the championship game. They can take any team in the big 10

I could be wrong though.
 

egunzy

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If Baylor, Oregon and Iowa lose I think OU could climb into the Top 12 and be eligible for a NY6 at large bid. If they manage to snag a bid to the Fiesta all the Big 12 teams could bump up a spot since, in that scenario, OKSt would be in the playoff (most likely) and Baylor would go to the Sugar. Would leave ISU and KST for the Alamo to pick from.
 

thisISnextyear

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If OK State gets into the playoffs, would BU go to Sugar and OU possibly get at large to Fiesta? That would put us in line for Alamo potentially, that would be my choice.
Based on the rankings tonight, there’s not a path for OU to get ranked high enough. The only teams ahead of them(that they could pass) with a loss while not playing themselves are Iowa(13) Oregon(10) and Baylor(9). Even if they pass Iowa it doesn’t get them to a ranking for a NY6 and the other two are too far out of reach.
 

egunzy

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Based on the rankings tonight, there’s not a path for OU to get ranked high enough. The only teams ahead of them(that they could pass) with a loss while not playing themselves are Iowa(13) Oregon(10) and Baylor(9). Even if they pass Iowa it doesn’t get them to a ranking for a NY6 and the other two are too far out of reach.

You don't think they could get to 12?
 

theshadow

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You don't think they could get to 12?

12 probably won't be high enough.

ACC champ likely outside the top 12 (15 vs 16), and it's also possible for the Pac-12 champ (10 vs 17).

That moves the bubble up to 11, maybe 10, for an at-large spot.
 

jctisu

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Jun 11, 2017
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You don't think they could get to 12?
Nah I don't see it. The committee has not respected OU all year, and nor should they. They haven't beaten anyone. Their two biggest games were Baylor and Oklahoma State and they lost both all while looking pretty shoddy all year squeaking out wins over WVU, KU, Texas, etc.

Plus the committee values the hell out of conference championships, so I would bet a lot that the ACC winner jumps OU.

I would be utterly shocked if the Big 12 has three in the NY6.
 

thisISnextyear

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You don't think they could get to 12?
Oregon would have to lose and fall 3 spots and Baylor 4 spots to open the door for Oklahoma to jump by not playing. None of these teams play an opponent that would be a “bad” loss so I don’t see it. I could see Pitt climbing in and leapfrogging with a too 20 win.

I also think the mass exodus of players will be a factor in their ranking too.
 

egunzy

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12 probably won't be high enough.

ACC champ likely outside the top 12 (15 vs 16), and it's also possible for the Pac-12 champ (10 vs 17).

That moves the bubble up to 11, maybe 10, for an at-large spot.

The top 12 are eligible for an at large pick. As long as a team is 12th or better they can be picked. All about matchups at that point.
 

jctisu

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The top 12 are eligible for an at large pick. As long as a team is 12th or better they can be picked. All about matchups at that point.
If it happens just be ecstatic that it somehow did, but I wouldn't be getting any hopes of it being even remotely realistic. Only going to be disappointed if you really think there's a decent to good chance it happens.
 

egunzy

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Oregon would have to lose and fall 3 spots and Baylor 4 spots to open the door for Oklahoma to jump by not playing. None of these teams play an opponent that would be a “bad” loss so I don’t see it. I could see Pitt climbing in and leapfrogging with a too 20 win.

I also think the mass exodus of players will be a factor in their ranking too.

If Oregon gets crushed by Utah again they will fall more than 3 spots......
 

Bader

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I don't think it works the same way in the Big 10. If the Big 10 champ goes to the playoff, the Rose bowl isn't required to select the loser of the championship game. They can take any team in the big 10

I could be wrong though.
The Big 12 partners are able to do what you’re describing as well. If OSU beats Baylor and gets into the CFP, the Sugar Bowl can take OU
 

Walter

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Nov 16, 2021
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Anyone hearing rumblings about Kolar skipping the bowl game? Wouldn't surprise me with his body in so much pain.
Hope it's not true, but Wouldn't fault him.
 

theshadow

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The top 12 are eligible for an at large pick. As long as a team is 12th or better they can be picked. All about matchups at that point.

Once the automatic and contractual teams are decided, the at-larges are filled in by ranking order.

PARTICIPANTS IN THE NEW YEAR’S SIX BOWLS
Both participants in the Orange, Rose and Sugar bowls are contracted outside the playoff
arrangement (Big Ten and Pac-12 to Rose Bowl Game; SEC and Big 12 to Sugar Bowl; ACC to Orange Bowl against the highest-ranked available team from the SEC, Big Ten and Notre Dame).

If a conference champion qualifies for the playoff, then the bowl will choose a replacement from that conference. When those bowls host the Playoff Semifinals and their contracted conference champions do not qualify, then the displaced champion(s) will play in one of the other New Year’s bowls.

When not hosting Playoff Semifinals, the Cotton, Fiesta and Peach bowls will welcome the highest-ranked teams, any displaced conference champions, and the top-ranked champion from a non-contract conference. The highest-ranked available teams will fill any other berths. The selection committee will make the pairings.
 

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