9 Q1 winsYeah, 20 wins and 8 Q1 wins is going to get us in. Anything from now on is about moving up the pairings.
9 Q1 winsYeah, 20 wins and 8 Q1 wins is going to get us in. Anything from now on is about moving up the pairings.
I stand corrected.9 Q1 wins
I think Rutgers is a good comparison. Defense oriented and really only two scoring threats.I'm not as scared about Purdue as others I guess. Their offense is literally the best in the country, but their defense is NOT good...it's 119th. If a similar gritty defensive team like Rutgers can beat them...Iowa State can beat them too.
But his writeup is as stupid as can be. "ISU's in the tourney but need to win 2 more to be secure . . ." Give me a break.
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Yeah, we are only at 98.6% odds of making it in so I guess we need to win 2 more to get to 99.9%
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Mine would be:Curious what seed you would give the following teams. No right or wrong answers just want to see because these teams have a wide range of seeds by the 'experts'.
Providence
Wisconsin
Texas
UCLA
Iowa State
Iowa
LSU
St. Mary's
Creighton
Xavier
UCONN
Houston
Michigan State
Marquette
Colorado State
Murray State
Curious what seed you would give the following teams. No right or wrong answers just want to see because these teams have a wide range of seeds by the 'experts'.
Providence
Wisconsin
Texas
UCLA
Iowa State
Iowa
LSU
St. Mary's
Creighton
Xavier
UCONN
Houston
Michigan State
Marquette
Colorado State
Murray State
Not bad.This is how I have it. Not claiming I'm an expert, but I do armchair bracket throughout season, so I track it consistently. A few I could move up or down a line.
Providence 3
Wisconsin 3
Texas 5
UCLA 4
Iowa State 7
Iowa 8/9
LSU 6
St. Mary's 6
Creighton 10
Xavier 9
UCONN 5
Houston 5
Michigan State 7
Marquette 7
Colorado State 8
Murray State 8
Iowa State is a solid 7 right now but if we take care of Okie St and win one in KC I think we are on the 6 line.
Not bad.
UCONN and Marquette might a spot or two too high.
Yeah, definitely need to take care of OSU (or Baylor), or I think we risk dropping to 8
Providence - 3Curious what seed you would give the following teams. No right or wrong answers just want to see because these teams have a wide range of seeds by the 'experts'.
Providence
Wisconsin
Texas
UCLA
Iowa State
Iowa
LSU
St. Mary's
Creighton
Xavier
UCONN
Houston
Michigan State
Marquette
Colorado State
Murray State
Saturday took Iowa State of the 8 line, their resume is too strong in comparison to the other teams in that seed range. The committee is going to value the Big 12 teams more than the metrics have. I remember this happening during the Hoiberg era, basically every Big 12 team outside of Kansas was bumped up either one or two seed lines that what everyone was predicting.
They try to avoid conference matchups that early, but Michigan State played Minnesota in the 2nd round a couple of years ago (in Des Moines), so there doesn't appear to be a rule against it. They only played each other once in the regular season that year, so that may have played a part as well.If we get a 7-10 seed, we will be in a first weekend site with a 1 or 2 seed. Using Bracket Matrix right now as a seed list, this is where those games would be played.
1. Gonzaga - Portland
1. Arizona - San Diego
1. Kansas - Fort Worth
1. Auburn - Greenville
2. Baylor - Fort Worth
2. Kentucky - Indianapolis
2. Purdue - Indianapolis
2. Duke - Greenville
I don't know the rules about whether we can even be with Kansas or Baylor (or if the committee would try to separate us even if we technically can), but I assume not, so if we get a 7 seed the most likely first weekend location would be Indy in either Kentucky or Purdue's region.
They try to avoid conference matchups that early, but Michigan State played Minnesota in the 2nd round a couple of years ago (in Des Moines), so there doesn't appear to be a rule against it. They only played each other once in the regular season that year, so that may have played a part as well.
If we get a 7-10 seed, we will be in a first weekend site with a 1 or 2 seed. Using Bracket Matrix right now as a seed list, this is where those games would be played.
1. Gonzaga - Portland
1. Arizona - San Diego
1. Kansas - Fort Worth
1. Auburn - Greenville
2. Baylor - Fort Worth
2. Kentucky - Indianapolis
2. Purdue - Indianapolis
2. Duke - Greenville
I don't know the rules about whether we can even be with Kansas or Baylor (or if the committee would try to separate us even if we technically can), but I assume not, so if we get a 7 seed the most likely first weekend location would be Indy in either Kentucky or Purdue's region.