PREDICITION:
When Miami has the ball: Gonna be strength on strength. Miami has a few guards that can fill it up and get out in transition. Yet ISU has some of the best defensive guards in the country (Hunter, GK, IZB). Will be a fun matchup to watch. They don't have any threatening bigs so would expect the majority of their scoring will come from their perimeter players.
When Iowa State has the ball: Miami's defense is ranked 121st in the nation... (that's 54 spots behind KState, who was rated as the worst defensive team in the B12 for some context). Even with Iowa States offensive struggles this year I think they will be able to score plenty tonight. I look for IZB to go for 20+ and get the Cyclone's to 70+, a winning number.
Overall: This will be a close game, as expected. Miami will make runs and most likely hit some tough shots. Iowa State will force them to turn it over and get them out of rhythm at times as well. One of the keys to this game will be rebounding and the Cyclones have a clear edge here. Miami is one of the WORST offensive rebounding teams on the country (ranked 318th) and they aren't much better on the defensive glass either (264th). Clones should control the boards. Another key will be fouls/FT's if the refs call it close the Iowa State may get into deep foul trouble and allow Miami to shoot a ton of FT's which isn't a great recipe.
Final: Cyclone's will have the home court advantage and really have an opportunity to come out and be the aggressor. If they do so, and I think they will, behind their tenacious defense and IZB's leadership, they will be headed to the Elite 8.
Score: ISU 74 - Miami 67