There’s a time and a place as a coach to get a T… down 5 with 4 minutes left probably isn’t the right time
***2025-26 Mens College Basketball Thread***
- Thread starter BigJCy
- Start date
AZ is solid but there’s something about them that screams early exit in the tournament to me
Agree. Cockiness/whining/attitude when things don't go their way.
Probably because under Lloyd they’ve really underperformed.
First year were a 1 seed lost sweet 16
Second year a 2 seed lost to 15 seed Princeton
Last year a 2 seed lost in sweet 16.
At this point, it’s about Big12 seeding. We’re not catching UH or UA. Getting the 3rd seed to avoid UH until the final would be nice. But making sure you stay in the top 4 is essential.
It's definitely unlikely, but never say never. Neither Houston or Arizona are dominant.
I honestly see Arizona losing 4 or 5 more games starting with @Kansas State. They have by far the toughest stretch of games to end the conference season. They will be falling back to earth soon…book it.
Well, it IS Arizona. It's what they do since Olson retired.
Yes, Arizona has a really tough end to the Big12 schedule. They have road games @ Kstate, @Baylor, @ISU, and @Kansas. They also play at home against Houston. I wouldn't be surprised if they drop at least 3 of those games, maybe more.
But I think Houston has some tough games remaining as well. Houston has at least one game left with Arizona, TTech, ISU, Kansas, Baylor as well. Just more of them are at home.
I think Houston is going to get beat a couple of times. They keep tempting fate by letting lesser teams stay very much in the games until the last 3-4 minutes. No way Colorado should have even been in the game.
Yes we are a complete longshot to grab a share of the title, but these last few weeks are going to be a meatgrinder for Arizona and Houston.
Agree. I don't have time to look this up, but it would be interesting to see how Big 12 teams in CST and EST zones perform the next game immediately after playing a night game at Arizona or Arizona State. I know the Cyclones didn't do too well.
Arizona and particularly Houston have had relatively easy schedules in Big 12 play and finish with relatively hard schedules:
Average Big 12 opponent KenPom NetRtg, games before February 9 (higher = better team):
Iowa State: +17.20
Houston: +12.51
Arizona: +16.36
Average Big 12 opponent KenPom NetRtg, games after February 9 (higher = better team):
Iowa State: +16.17
Houston: +22.25
Arizona: +20.44
Houston is fortunate that in their recent lull here, they played the two worst teams in the league. On our three-game bender, we had to play two of the best teams in the league on the road, and the hottest team in the league at home.
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Here also are the Big 12 teams ranked-ordered by their KenPom home court advantage (points per 100 possession better at home relative to hypothetical neutral floor):
1. West Virginia +4.6
2. TCU +4.3
3. Texas Tech +4.3
4. Utah +4.3
5. Colorado +4.0
6. BYU +4.0
7. Oklahoma State +3.9
8. Iowa State +3.9
9. Kansas State +3.8
10. Kansas +3.8
11. Baylor +3.8
12. Cincinnati +3.6
13. UCF +3.4
14. Arizona +3.4
15. Houston +3.2
16. Arizona State +3.1
West Virginia is currently #1 in the country in this metric. Why is our supposedly-top-tier home court advantage actually middle-of-the-pack in the Big 12? Because we get jobbed by the officials. Here they are rank-ordered by one of the model inputs, the disparity in personal fouls called, home-vs.-away:
1. TCU -5.8
2. West Virginia -5.2
3. Texas Tech -5.0
4. Baylor -4.9
5. Oklahoma State -4.7
6. Kansas -4.5
7. Kansas State -4.4
8. Cincinnati -4.3
9. BYU -3.9
10. Iowa State -3.2
11. UCF -3.0
12. Colorado -2.8
13. Utah -2.8
14. Arizona -2.6
15. Houston -2.6
16. Arizona State -2.0
So anyone thinking we get a particularly favorable whistle at Hilton, statistically speaking, no we do not, it's in the bottom half of the league and nowhere near the top tier.
1. West Virginia +4.6
2. TCU +4.3
3. Texas Tech +4.3
4. Utah +4.3
5. Colorado +4.0
6. BYU +4.0
7. Oklahoma State +3.9
8. Iowa State +3.9
9. Kansas State +3.8
10. Kansas +3.8
11. Baylor +3.8
12. Cincinnati +3.6
13. UCF +3.4
14. Arizona +3.4
15. Houston +3.2
16. Arizona State +3.1
West Virginia is currently #1 in the country in this metric. Why is our supposedly-top-tier home court advantage actually middle-of-the-pack in the Big 12? Because we get jobbed by the officials. Here they are rank-ordered by one of the model inputs, the disparity in personal fouls called, home-vs.-away:
1. TCU -5.8
2. West Virginia -5.2
3. Texas Tech -5.0
4. Baylor -4.9
5. Oklahoma State -4.7
6. Kansas -4.5
7. Kansas State -4.4
8. Cincinnati -4.3
9. BYU -3.9
10. Iowa State -3.2
11. UCF -3.0
12. Colorado -2.8
13. Utah -2.8
14. Arizona -2.6
15. Houston -2.6
16. Arizona State -2.0
So anyone thinking we get a particularly favorable whistle at Hilton, statistically speaking, no we do not, it's in the bottom half of the league and nowhere near the top tier.
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Well I typed that at 10:10 CST and the game was in the 30s, with about 9 minutes left in the first half.
Probably just a coincidence that the teams that play the most aggressive defense are at the bottom of that list...
Anybody else see the Creighton guy shooting something like 97.8% at the free throw line? Not sure I've seen anything like that in recent memory.
Were they shooting underhand? Someone on here last year was stuck on that to help ISU's players.
Not sure where they stood on peach baskets.
I dont think so but he did kind of look like the kid off Hoosiers. I think he was at that rate on like 90 attempts also so it wasn't some fluke thing.
Talk about having a Mariano Rivera level closer to have the ball in his hands at the end.
If not for the negative stigma of banked shots, I have always thought you can shoot a higher percent trying to bank free throws. Especially if you are a sub .500 FT shooter.
