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  1. cymonw1980

    How should the Big 12 play the hand it has been dealt

    To be fair, some football players have played basketball... maybe you are underestimating how strongly she feels about b-ball. She hates it so much she doesn't even want to support anyone who may have played in the past.
  2. cymonw1980

    How should the Big 12 play the hand it has been dealt

    I think you take the PAC out... you want to be in the drivers seat for what comes next in the short term. There is time for everyone to come together after the P2 break away.
  3. cymonw1980

    College athletics 10 yrs from now...

    I do think the top 24 - 32 teams have a lot of value, but on their own they will suffer... How many people who are not fans of Wis v. Mich tune in today when that game is between two 7-1 or 8-0 teams ranked in the top 10? When it's two 4-4 teams battling it out for a middle of the pack finish in...
  4. cymonw1980

    College athletics 10 yrs from now...

    I have been thinking about worst case scenario since the UCLA, USC news broke. What if the P2 decide to break away and slowly increase the competitive gap with the rules they establish? Below is an example, not meant to be exactly what unfolds but something along these lines. Key point is...
  5. cymonw1980

    How should the Big 12 play the hand it has been dealt

    Yes.. this is assumed in option 2. Basically the P2 either actually break away (stop playing everyone else) or they don't literally break away, but they establish rules that make it impossible for the rest to compete. If they actually breakaway (I think this is unlikely short term, but in 5-10...
  6. cymonw1980

    How should the Big 12 play the hand it has been dealt

    Agree... this is not the play for this year. This is more of a long term view. When you go this direction it would be with the plan to break away from the P2 and no longer compete with them. However, this will likely be forced (P2 could be making $100M+ more per year than #3 conf, whoever that...
  7. cymonw1980

    How should the Big 12 play the hand it has been dealt

    This is not the short term... short term is take the 4 from the pac if you can get them... then play it out and see what happens. Imho, we will have two options in about 10 yrs or so... Option 1) is more or less what you lay out... we are a (distant) #3 and get some teams in a play off of some...
  8. cymonw1980

    How should the Big 12 play the hand it has been dealt

    I think the move is to take 4 (utah, col, ari, asu) if you can... I don't think that is a done deal. If media companies do not want this to happen they will do something about it (similar to what they did to save B12 and stop the PAC 12 grabbing tx, ou, osu, and ttu about 10 years ago). If we...
  9. cymonw1980

    Are the new 4 schools guaranteed entry into the Big 12?

    I think this is bad for Washington that's about it. I don't think the B12 should add both wash schools... I think you add the teams willing to come that you want to take. I feel bad for OSU/WSU but the reality is I don't think you go beyond 16 unless it's wash/oregon on their own. I believe...
  10. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    It’s not the players getting paid that is ruining the sport. It’s the lack of leadership with clear goals to build college football value. The goals of leaders in the sport (conf commissioners, school presidents, administrators) is to maximize their conference and school value. TV companies are...
  11. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    Yes. When I say “tv” I am referring to the value the team brings from all media… tv, streaming, etc. that is why in 10 yrs (maybe less?) I don’t think Rutgers or even Maryland would be part of the super leagues. They were brought in for cable tv markets (ny/dc) that really do not drive college...
  12. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    I think it’s bad for the sport but so have all the other moves… just progressively moving toward a product I will have 0 interest in. That said, it is also about destroying competition. There is likely to be less overall money made by the 24-32 teams compared to the 65 P5. But the individual...
  13. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    I think even the new b12 will be making more than the ACC. So, I do think most will have options to make more money. At some point they will have to choose between staying in a conference just to remain with traditional rivals or end it and leave for more money. To be clear it’s not that the...
  14. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    Playoff payouts are primarily TV money. Also, monopolizing the playoff is absolutely the end game but you do that by grouping tv brands to grow revenue beyond what others can get then set all the rules to favor those with money (think P5 v. G5 on steroids). So, tv $ is all that matters in the...
  15. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    Don’t disagree. It must be a pretty rock solid contract otherwise someone would have found a way out. The B12 GOR is the reason ou/tx are still around (and they only have 3 yrs left on the deal. The ACC has 14! Imagine that buy out!). But… as the contact becomes less palatable for everyone...
  16. cymonw1980

    Prediction for USC/UCLA postmortem.

    I voted 2… I *think* ND stays independent and the b10 grabs 2 more (Wash/Oregon). The fact that they were not invited yet surprises me a bit. But the reality is, I don’t think the pac offers a lot from a tv revenue standpoint. At the end of the day this is the only thing that matters. One...
  17. cymonw1980

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    No... at 16 it works out pretty nicely with 4 team pods. You play the 3 other teams in your pod every year and 6 teams from the other 3 pods home & away rotating the 6 every 2 yrs. You end up playing every conf team home and away every 4 yrs and play 9 conf games. I actually like 16 teams the...
  18. cymonw1980

    Who is best for the Big 12?

    I think the best case scenario for ISU is that the conference system is tossed and a new 60 team league is formed. Not sure if this will ever happen, but if b10, sec decide to just toss conferences and create a super league. Then maybe ISU makes the cut in a 60 team league. again, don't think...
  19. cymonw1980

    Who is best for the Big 12?

    I honestly don't think this happens. I think the usc, ucla adds destabilize the pac and provide a path for oregon, wash to leave osu, wsu behind.... Not sure how palatable it was for those states to break their P5 schools apart, now their hands will be forced. Ore, Wash only, or on your own...