Looking at Sagarin's Predictor rankings (which is pretty close to Vegas odds), we'd be favored right now by around 2.5 to 3 over BYU on a neutral field. The difference in odds in getting to the conference championship is largely because BYU has an easier remaining schedule (including one fewer game remaining to potentially lose). ISU/KSU for the championship would be a pick 'em.
2024 Big 12 Championship Game Projections
- Thread starter Dale
- Start date
Im honestly getting nauseous with the thought of been undefeated going into Manhattan and playing a one loss K state team. I think it would be a hell of a game and we would have a good shot of winning it…. but the possibility of having one loss, best season in school history, and then not playing for the conference title makes me want to puke.
Hopefully the fact the game is in Ames helps your nausea
Hahaha. Not sure how I had that one wrong. It helped right when I read your guys messages, but now I am even more nauseated. Our chances of winning would be higher at home for sure, but the losing scenario becomes even a bigger heart break.
Freaking KU…
KSU still has ASU and Cincy. At home, sure, but both are capable of nabbing the upset if KSU isn't on their A game.
Go rewatch the Sama snow game from last year. That’ll make you feel better.
Highest leverage games remaining for Iowa State -- starred games are this week:
Iowa St. over Kansas St.: 66.9% (21.8% to 88.7%)
Iowa St. over Cincinnati: 23.6% (37.8% to 61.4%)
* Iowa St. over Texas Tech: 23.0% (39.6% to 62.6%)
Iowa St. over Kansas: 22.3% (43.2% to 65.5%)
Iowa St. over Utah: 21.0% (44.0% to 65.0%)
* Houston over Kansas St.: 12.5% (56.0% to 68.5%)
Houston over BYU: 10.9% (56.1% to 67.0%)
Arizona St over Kansas St.: 10.2% (56.1% to 66.3%)
Cincinnati over Kansas St.: 9.4% (55.9% to 65.3%)
Kansas over BYU: 8.9% (54.4% to 63.3%)
Arizona St over BYU: 7.6% (54.9% to 62.5%)
Utah over BYU: 7.6% (53.2% to 60.8%)
Kansas over Colorado: 3.3% (55.3% to 58.6%)
Utah over Colorado: 3.2% (55.5% to 58.7%)
Oklahoma St. over Colorado: 2.3% (56.1% to 58.4%)
Texas Tech over Colorado: 2.2% (56.1% to 58.3%)
* Baylor over TCU: 1.6% (56.1% to 57.7%)
Oklahoma St. over TCU: 1.3% (56.7% to 58.0%)
Iowa St. over Kansas St.: 66.9% (21.8% to 88.7%)
Iowa St. over Cincinnati: 23.6% (37.8% to 61.4%)
* Iowa St. over Texas Tech: 23.0% (39.6% to 62.6%)
Iowa St. over Kansas: 22.3% (43.2% to 65.5%)
Iowa St. over Utah: 21.0% (44.0% to 65.0%)
* Houston over Kansas St.: 12.5% (56.0% to 68.5%)
Houston over BYU: 10.9% (56.1% to 67.0%)
Arizona St over Kansas St.: 10.2% (56.1% to 66.3%)
Cincinnati over Kansas St.: 9.4% (55.9% to 65.3%)
Kansas over BYU: 8.9% (54.4% to 63.3%)
Arizona St over BYU: 7.6% (54.9% to 62.5%)
Utah over BYU: 7.6% (53.2% to 60.8%)
Kansas over Colorado: 3.3% (55.3% to 58.6%)
Utah over Colorado: 3.2% (55.5% to 58.7%)
Oklahoma St. over Colorado: 2.3% (56.1% to 58.4%)
Texas Tech over Colorado: 2.2% (56.1% to 58.3%)
* Baylor over TCU: 1.6% (56.1% to 57.7%)
Oklahoma St. over TCU: 1.3% (56.7% to 58.0%)
Greatest season ever, 11-1, and not even playing in the CCG and missing the playoffs would be the most ISU thing to ever happen
Yes probably the first team out so 9-3 Alabama can make the field.
Maybe we should play the games before going into full doom mode?
Well, if that happens, out fans will still get a really nice bowl somewhere warm. Is that such a bad thing living in Iowa in the Winter???
That's a lot of wasted time. Think of all the possible scenarios we can think of where we get kicked in the nuts.
I’m not a bowl person, but I’d be happy for the season on its own. It would just be nice for the team to be rewarded for all of their hard work by getting a chance to play for the conference title.
San Antonio, against either Wazzu or Colorado (depending on how the other scenarios shake out).
I guess at this point I'd rather the KSate game be the play in to the championship. Cause if we lost to them at home but still made the championship it would likely be against them again and it would be so ISU to somehow lose 3 straight to them in a 9 month span. If kstate is going to kick me in the nuts can it just be once.
This is about where I am too.
They still haven't played up to their full potential, but with seemingly every body dinged up, the margin of error is just infinitesimal.
I hope I am wrong, and everyone comes back at 100% and stays there.
KU could be a pretty darn good football team if they could just get out of their own damned way. For a team with a losing record they are still pretty dangerous.
Houston going berserk after beating "Gonna run the Big 12" Utah. Gonna go Grim Reaper and take down KSU and BYU.
