The problem for Drake and Indiana St is that any given loss could drop you like a rock in the NET. The MVC will be a one bid league. The NET formula has really hurt mid major at large bids.
Valley Top 4 in the NET vs RPI.
NET-
Indiana State 26
Drake 42
Bradley 63
UNI 104
RPI-
Drake 26
Indiana State 28
Bradley 33
UNI 76
UNI will move into the top 100 NET after destroying Evansville tonight so the only losses that Drake and Indiana State can afford are to each other, Bradley and UNI.
Indiana State is done with UNI (only play once, won in Cedar Falls) and has already played Drake and Bradley on the road so they probably have to beat both of them at home.
Drake still has UNI and Bradley both twice and at Indiana State. They beat Indiana State in Des Moines.
Bradley still has UNI and Drake both twice and at Indiana State and already lost to Indiana State at home.
The Valley's only path to 2 bids is Indiana State being 17-3 in the Valley or better and losing to one of those 4 in St Louis.