We don't, however the question in this thread is how far will they go. Not how far do you HOPE they go. If that was the case, there is only one poll choice for a fan forum and that is to win every game we play, including the National Championship.
Saying it all comes down to matchups feels like an excuse for a loss that hasn't happened yet so that is why I made my original comment about matchups ranging from Auburn to K State and Okie State. Of course it comes down to matchups, but the best teams have a good scout and prepare a strategy (and then execute that strategy) to beat the teams they play.
ISU played very poorly in both games, but KSU and OSU have bigger guards which is physically a problem for ISU's smaller guards.
That's not an excuse, it's realistically a thing.
And sometimes you have a strategy and it still doesn't work if someone's hitting shots and you aren't.
In ISU's case, the players seem to tend to get away from the plan (going off of TJ's pressers) and with ISU's limitations, that breaks everything down. There's depth within the core, but then just benching players drops things off quickly and it's not just a loss; it's a mess.