New Schedule - Season Prediction Time!!!
- Thread starter Thomasrickj
- Start date
Re: I like our schedule
Yep, they return 7 players who got significant minutes last year. Would not surprise me if they are a better team w/o Marble.
Yep, they return 7 players who got significant minutes last year. Would not surprise me if they are a better team w/o Marble.
3 more months, ugh.
Not sure what to expect without Ejim and Kane and an even tougher Big 12. I am guessing we will have trouble matching last year record-wise. As long as we are playing our best ball at the end of the year and make the NCAA tournament, we should have the talent to make a run and take another step forward. It is all about March now.
Not sure what to expect without Ejim and Kane and an even tougher Big 12. I am guessing we will have trouble matching last year record-wise. As long as we are playing our best ball at the end of the year and make the NCAA tournament, we should have the talent to make a run and take another step forward. It is all about March now.
I don't see the Big 12 as being tougher next year. Still good but not the nasty gauntlet of last year. I don't see seven teams making the tourney with Baylor and Okie State being down some.
7 may not make it because the conference will be tougher imo.
TCU and TT will be improved, that alone makes it tougher. Improved enough to be the reason a team is a win or two shy of making the NCAA. Sure, some of the pack teams (teams other than KU, TCU, and TT) will be down a bit, but some will also end up improved. Will a team or two fall on the wrong side of the bubble this year? Perhaps, but there is almost no discernible difference between a "last four in" team and a "last four out" team imo. There is a difference between having TCU and TT be very bad, and them being below average.
Will it be better? That depends on how good the top few teams of the conference are.
Every year people say TTU and TCU will be better and every year they suck and are 9th and 10th in the standings. Until they prove that they're better, I won't believe it. OSU and Baylor will be worse this year. I don't see the conference being any tougher than it was last year, maybe the same.
You can find people saying any conceivable opinion, but I do not recall the majority of people saying they would finish above 9th or 10th last season. And who said anything about where they would finish? They will be improved is the contention. TCU will not go 0-18 next year.
I’m tapping the brakes a little (not much). Just enough unseen contributors, I don't want to go overboard with expectations (gut says otherwise, but playing it safe.)
We possibly could see as many or more losses than last season, but with fewer nail-biters and larger win margins vs. mid-range opponents.
In parentheses are estimated NCAA/NIT tournament seeding, if applicable (for Big 12 games, reference on first matchup only).
I reserve the right to change all this in October, of course. :smile:
W Oakland
W Georgia State (13)
W v Alabama (NIT 5)
L v Maryland (10)
W Lamar
W Arkansas (8)
W UMKC
L at Iowa (9)
W Southern (16 play-in)
W v Drake
W Missisippi Valley State
W v South Carolina (NIT 2)
W Oklahoma State (NIT 1)
W at West Virginia (11)
L at Baylor (NIT 2)
W Kansas (2)
W Kansas State (7)
W at Texas Tech
W Texas (2)
W TCU
L at Kansas
W Texas Tech
L at Oklahoma (4)
W West Virginia
L at Oklahoma State
L at Texas
W Baylor
W at Kansas State
W Oklahoma
W at TCU
23-7, 13-5
3 seed Big 12 tournament — 2-1, 25-8
3 or 4 seed NCAA tournament
Sweet 16 w/ Elite 8 potential
We possibly could see as many or more losses than last season, but with fewer nail-biters and larger win margins vs. mid-range opponents.
In parentheses are estimated NCAA/NIT tournament seeding, if applicable (for Big 12 games, reference on first matchup only).
I reserve the right to change all this in October, of course. :smile:
W Oakland
W Georgia State (13)
W v Alabama (NIT 5)
L v Maryland (10)
W Lamar
W Arkansas (8)
W UMKC
L at Iowa (9)
W Southern (16 play-in)
W v Drake
W Missisippi Valley State
W v South Carolina (NIT 2)
W Oklahoma State (NIT 1)
W at West Virginia (11)
L at Baylor (NIT 2)
W Kansas (2)
W Kansas State (7)
W at Texas Tech
W Texas (2)
W TCU
L at Kansas
W Texas Tech
L at Oklahoma (4)
W West Virginia
L at Oklahoma State
L at Texas
W Baylor
W at Kansas State
W Oklahoma
W at TCU
23-7, 13-5
3 seed Big 12 tournament — 2-1, 25-8
3 or 4 seed NCAA tournament
Sweet 16 w/ Elite 8 potential
The non-conference is much easier than last year but being perfect in the non-con for a second year in a row is unrealistic. Look at the great 1999-2000 team, the best in school history. That team lost to Drake in its non-conference schedule. I know ISU is playing three weak teams from the SEC and will be favored in each game but I will bet we lose one of those games. I also think ISU is a substantial underdog against Iowa. I can't believe someone on this board thinks we're going to win that game by double-digits when it's in Carver-Hawkeye.
As for the conference, I predict we'll go 12-6. We'll lose one game at home and go 4-5 on the road.
As for the conference, I predict we'll go 12-6. We'll lose one game at home and go 4-5 on the road.
I see the Big 12 being better at the top, but not as deep as last year.
KU, ISU, Texas look to be as good or better. OU is right there as well, but I don't see OSU or Baylor being as good. Kstate is a bit of a wildcard. They are always tough at home and play a style that keeps them close on the road. They*will figure to be in the upper half, but probably not enough talent to contend.
KU, ISU, Texas look to be as good or better. OU is right there as well, but I don't see OSU or Baylor being as good. Kstate is a bit of a wildcard. They are always tough at home and play a style that keeps them close on the road. They*will figure to be in the upper half, but probably not enough talent to contend.
Texas Tech was better last year than the year before and I thought it was pretty apparent. This year I don't see them being any better though.
Don't think we will repeat the feat of going undefeated with the non-conference portion of the schedule. I predict 2, maybe three losses. Iowa being one, South Carolina being two, and possibly Drake at Wells Fargo being three.
I think we will have a better than anticipated conference record. Guess we will wait and see..
I think we will have a better than anticipated conference record. Guess we will wait and see..
11/14 Oakland - W (1-0, 0-0)
11/17 Georgia State - W (2-0, 0-0)
11/24 Alabama - W (3-0, 0-0)
11/25 Arizona State/Maryland - W (4-0, 0-0)
12/2 Lamar - W (5-0, 0-0)
12/4 Arkansas - W (6-0, 0-0) (I've got this game down as a loss to y'all but I do have us finishing 25-6. I suspect that a lot of you will be surprised how good we are and how much of a "quality win" this will be in March)
12/9 UMKC - W (7-0, 0-0)
12/12 @Iowa - W (8-0, 0-0)
12/14 Southern - W (9-0, 0-0)
12/20 Drake - W (10-0, 0-0)
12/31 Mississippi Valley State - W (11-0, 0-0)
1/3 South Carolina - W (12-0, 0-0)
1/6 Okie State - W (13-0, 1-0)
1/10 @WVU - W (14-0, 2-0)
1/14 @Baylor - L (14-1, 2-1)
1/17 Kansas - W (15-1, 3-1)
1/20 Kansas State - W (16-1, 4-1)
1/24 @Texas Tech - W (17-1, 5-1)
1/26 Texas - L (17-2, 5-2)
1/31 TCU - W (18-2, 6-2)
2/2 @Kansas - L (18-3, 6-3)
2/7 Texas Tech - W (19-3, 7-3)
2/9 @Oklahoma - L (19-4, 7-4)
2/14 WVU - W (20-4, 8-4)
2/18 @Okie State - W (21-4, 9-4)
2/21 @Texas - L (21-5, 9-5)
2/25 Baylor - W (22-5, 10-5)
2/28 @Kansas State - W (23-5, 11-5)
3/2 Oklahoma - L (23-6, 11-6)
3/7 TCU - W (24-6, 12-6)
Finish the the regular season in the top 10. Travel well to the Sprint Center and win the Big XII tourney.
2 seed in the NCAA tourney and end up making a run to the Elite 8 or deeper.
Wild Card: if Georgios Tsalmpouris exceeds expectations and can give 15+ minutes per game by March and you've got him and Georges healthy at full speed -- damn, look out. Match-up nightmare.
11/17 Georgia State - W (2-0, 0-0)
11/24 Alabama - W (3-0, 0-0)
11/25 Arizona State/Maryland - W (4-0, 0-0)
12/2 Lamar - W (5-0, 0-0)
12/4 Arkansas - W (6-0, 0-0) (I've got this game down as a loss to y'all but I do have us finishing 25-6. I suspect that a lot of you will be surprised how good we are and how much of a "quality win" this will be in March)
12/9 UMKC - W (7-0, 0-0)
12/12 @Iowa - W (8-0, 0-0)
12/14 Southern - W (9-0, 0-0)
12/20 Drake - W (10-0, 0-0)
12/31 Mississippi Valley State - W (11-0, 0-0)
1/3 South Carolina - W (12-0, 0-0)
1/6 Okie State - W (13-0, 1-0)
1/10 @WVU - W (14-0, 2-0)
1/14 @Baylor - L (14-1, 2-1)
1/17 Kansas - W (15-1, 3-1)
1/20 Kansas State - W (16-1, 4-1)
1/24 @Texas Tech - W (17-1, 5-1)
1/26 Texas - L (17-2, 5-2)
1/31 TCU - W (18-2, 6-2)
2/2 @Kansas - L (18-3, 6-3)
2/7 Texas Tech - W (19-3, 7-3)
2/9 @Oklahoma - L (19-4, 7-4)
2/14 WVU - W (20-4, 8-4)
2/18 @Okie State - W (21-4, 9-4)
2/21 @Texas - L (21-5, 9-5)
2/25 Baylor - W (22-5, 10-5)
2/28 @Kansas State - W (23-5, 11-5)
3/2 Oklahoma - L (23-6, 11-6)
3/7 TCU - W (24-6, 12-6)
Finish the the regular season in the top 10. Travel well to the Sprint Center and win the Big XII tourney.
2 seed in the NCAA tourney and end up making a run to the Elite 8 or deeper.
Wild Card: if Georgios Tsalmpouris exceeds expectations and can give 15+ minutes per game by March and you've got him and Georges healthy at full speed -- damn, look out. Match-up nightmare.
I think we would all be thrilled if you guys ended up being a good win. We could definitely use the boost to our non-con SOS.
Only problem I have with these predictions is you have ISU losing twice in Hilton to two teams not named Kansas. That hasn't happened it 3(?) years.
I think most of us could live with something like that.:smile:
If I get time later I may run through Arkansas game by game.
The last time we lost at home to a current big 12 team not named Kansas was over 4 years ago.
I believe that the Big XII is becoming as dominant in hoops as the SEC is on the football field.
The Boomers and Horns (I ******* hate Texas from our SWC days by the way) are both going to be very good teams. But both are winnable games, I wouldn't say that picking the other way on those two would be dumb picks.
OU only lost Neal and Clark, remember -- everyone else is back. Hield, Cousins, and Woodard are all back. Spangler looks to make strides this year as well -- I think he nearly averaged in double figures last year. Add in the frosh, Buford at 6'7 as a versatile big man and they're gonna match up well.
The key will be how they shoot from distance. OU was one of the best three point shooting teams in the country last year at close to 40% if memory serves. I believe that OU may be your toughest home game.
