From what I've heard and read from "the experts", a team's record over its final ten games has the most bearing on whether it goes dancing or not. Games in Nov. are discounted unless it was a win over a top ten team, or a loss against a bottom ten team. Neither UNI or Drake fall into those two categories and those losses won't count a whole lot against the Cyclones. At least not enough to counter the weight of playing in the Big 12 conference even in a down year. The win against Texas, IMO, counts more than the loss vs. Drake. If ISU doesn't make the NCAA tourney, it will be due to factors besides the UNI and Drake games.