Iowa has no chance. The final 3 in no particular order are Wisconsin, ISU, and Gonzaga. Weeks ago the top 3 were Wisc, ISU, and UNI, but the Panthers used their last Scholarship on a guard from IL. Now that Gonzaga has offered they are in the Mix. My source is a college coach not affiliated with ISU.
How would a college coach not affiliated with ISU know if ISU is in the lead? I highly doubt that Gibbs would talk to another college coach about what colleges are in the lead, especially if he's saying very little to actual reporters.
Not to mention, if he did in fact talk to another college coach about his recruiting, and did mention who may or may not be in the lead, I highly doubt that this particular college coach would go around telling people this information. Coaches are usually pretty quiet about this sort of thing.
Mark Miller (Wisconsin guy) and several other very reputable posters who have real contacts think ISU and Wisky are in the lead. We've heard it from several other posters on other Hawk boards. It's not wishing, it's reality.
Edit: That being said, I'm not saying Iowa is completely out of it. But every bit of news regarding him says ISU and Wisky lead.
While I see what you're saying, I have stopped listening to postes with "inside information", regardless of their name recognition. Several posters on the HN premium board that had gotten recruiting information correct in the past had Torrey Mack coming to Iowa, right before he committed to Virginia.
Recruiting is a very difficult thing to speculate - because it very rarely turns out the way anybody thinks it will. The onl thing that I'm going to listen to about Gibbs' recruiting is Gibbs himself. Given, that is very little to work with, but the the little information provided straight from him has him saying that Iowa, ISU, UW, and Gonzaga are all tied for the lead.
The only credible information is information from him, IMO.
Now, I'm not saying that this Miller guy from the UW boards may not have his own information, I'm just saying that I doubt it's as reliable and "open and shut" as some people would believe.