IMHO: No, other than autobid upsets I believe the seedings and field are pretty set before the conference tournaments and certainly for the ones the committee has set for the hosting 16.
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WBB NCAA Top 16 Revealed Tonight
- Thread starter mred
- Start date
IMHO: No, other than autobid upsets I believe the seedings and field are pretty set before the conference tournaments and certainly for the ones the committee has set for the hosting 16.
Honestly, I think that ISU can only slightly improve their seed to a 3 if they win the Big 12 tournament...otherwise, barring a first round loss to either Kansas, Oklahoma, or Oklahoma State, we are locked into a 4 seed.
Getting the win over Baylor would be huge. Not predicting it, just saying it would be a huge eye opener for the selection committee.
Going to be really tough...teams that have that zero in the loss column tend to play every game tough as they want to preserve the perfect record. But, having watched Baylor and ISU play twice...a few extra 3's by the sisters would result in a much closer result.
Looking at RPI which is used by the committee for the Women's Tournament we are already in the conversation for a 3 seed. We are sitting at 11. I think with a win tonight and a 2-1 Big 12 showing with a loss to Baylor gets us a 3 seed IMHO. I really think we get that 3 seed.
The 3 and 4 seeds and how they have done since the selection committee listed its first 16 on Feb. 11th. We have to pass three teams the committee has previously listed above us to get to a 3 seed. Not seeing who we leapfrog at this point. Nobody really augered in since the 2/11/19 announcement although Marquette looks to drop some. I kinda don't get why Marquette is ranked so high. Understand all of the others. Best thing on their resume is an early close lose to Miss State. Oregon State didn't do "great" but they are in the countries best WBB league this year. South Carolina went 3-3 but all the losses were to high ranked teams, two to top 5 teams.
If I reshuffled this today I'd drop Marquette to #15 or #16 and move everyone else up one spot. Maybe move us past Gonzaga.
#9 Marquette: 15-3 in conference, 9-4 on road, RPI 12, 3-3 since 2/11/19
#10 Iowa: 14-4 in conference, 7-5 on the road, RPI 7, 4-1 since 2/11/19
#11 Maryland: 15-3 in conference, 10-2 on the road, RPI 14, 4-1 since 2/11/19
#12 Oregon State: 14-4 in conference, 6-3 on the road, RPI 20, 4-2 since 2/11/19
#13 South Carolina: 13-3 in conference, 9-2 on the road, RPI 16, 3-3 since 2/11/19 (losses were to #4, #5, #16)
#14 Gonzaga: 16-2 conference, 11-1 on the road, RPI 13, 5-1 since 2/11/19
#15 Iowa State: 13-5 conference*, 6-5 on the road, RPI 11, 4-2 since 2/11/19
* Listed tonight as a win.
So, yeah, bored this afternoon on this freezing cold winter day.
If I reshuffled this today I'd drop Marquette to #15 or #16 and move everyone else up one spot. Maybe move us past Gonzaga.
#9 Marquette: 15-3 in conference, 9-4 on road, RPI 12, 3-3 since 2/11/19
#10 Iowa: 14-4 in conference, 7-5 on the road, RPI 7, 4-1 since 2/11/19
#11 Maryland: 15-3 in conference, 10-2 on the road, RPI 14, 4-1 since 2/11/19
#12 Oregon State: 14-4 in conference, 6-3 on the road, RPI 20, 4-2 since 2/11/19
#13 South Carolina: 13-3 in conference, 9-2 on the road, RPI 16, 3-3 since 2/11/19 (losses were to #4, #5, #16)
#14 Gonzaga: 16-2 conference, 11-1 on the road, RPI 13, 5-1 since 2/11/19
#15 Iowa State: 13-5 conference*, 6-5 on the road, RPI 11, 4-2 since 2/11/19
* Listed tonight as a win.
So, yeah, bored this afternoon on this freezing cold winter day.
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The 3 and 4 seeds and how they have done since the selection committee listed its first 16 on Feb. 11th. We have to pass three teams the committee has previously listed above us to get to a 3 seed. Not seeing who we leapfrog at this point. Nobody really augered in since the 2/11/19 announcement although Marquette looks to drop some. I kinda don't get why Marquette is ranked so high. Understand all of the others. Best thing on their resume is an early close lose to Miss State. Oregon State didn't do "great" but they are in the countries best WBB league this year. South Carolina went 3-3 but all the losses were to high ranked teams, two to top 5 teams.
If I reshuffled this today I'd drop Marquette to #15 or #16 and move everyone else up one spot. Maybe move us past Gonzaga.
#9 Marquette: 15-3 in conference, 9-4 on road, RPI 12, 3-3 since 2/11/19
#10 Iowa: 14-4 in conference, 7-5 on the road, RPI 7, 4-1 since 2/11/19
#11 Maryland: 15-3 in conference, 10-2 on the road, RPI 14, 4-1 since 2/11/19
#12 Oregon State: 14-4 in conference, 6-3 on the road, RPI 20, 4-2 since 2/11/19
#13 South Carolina: 13-3 in conference, 9-2 on the road, RPI 16, 3-3 since 2/11/19 (losses were to #4, #5, #16)
#14 Gonzaga: 16-2 conference, 11-1 on the road, RPI 13, 5-1 since 2/11/19
#15 Iowa State: 13-5 conference*, 6-5 on the road, RPI 11, 4-2 since 2/11/19
* Listed tonight as a win.
So, yeah, bored this afternoon on this freezing cold winter day.
I actually think Maryland is overrated. The played a pansy non-con, and had a weak Big 10 schedule, SOS of 80. I also think SC is benefiting from their name, as they had a rough first half of season, and Marquette has looked bad the last couple weeks.
Updated NCAA Top 16 was released tonight. The two weakest resume teams, Marquette and Gonzaga, drop out and we move up one spot. We are a solid #14 at this point with two newbies below us (Syracuse and Teas A&M). Really don't see a scenario where we do not host. None of the teams that stayed in the 16 moved that much. I think this is pretty set except for maybe 15 and 16.
https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketbal...etball-rankings-ncaa-tournament-top-16-reveal
https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketbal...etball-rankings-ncaa-tournament-top-16-reveal
With these 16 and the 4 declared sites for Regional, here is how it could be organized:
#1 Baylor, #2 Oregon, #3 Oregon State, #4 Texas A&M play for Portland Regional.
#1 Notre Dame, #2 Stanford, #3 Iowa, #4 Iowa State play for Chicago Regional.
#1 Connecticut, #2 NC State, #3 Maryland, #4 Marquette play for Albany Regional.
#1 Louisville, #2 Mississippi State, #3 Miami, #4 South Carolina play for Greensboro Regional.
Mine only had 3 teams playing in a remote Regional:
Baylor plays a long way from Waco, but there is no regional nearby and the West is sparse.
Stanford plays a long way away, but that is because there are two #2's and no #1 out West.
NC State plays a ways away, but there is a cluster in the Southeast and no #2 in the Northeast.
At any rate, it is fun to think about. Hack away. I'm sure there are mistakes in my scheme.
Mine seems to make a lot more sense that this one by Charlie Creme which has at least 11 teams playing in a remote Regional:
http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology.
#1 Notre Dame, #2 Oregon, #3 Iowa, and #4 Marquette playing for Portland (3 remote).
#1 Louisville, #2 Stanford, #3 Maryland, #4 Texas A&M playing for Chicago (3-4 remote).
#1 Connecticut, #2 Mississippi State, #3 Miami, #4 Iowa State playing for Albany (3 remote).
#1 Baylor, #2 NC State, #3 Oregon State, #4 South Carolina for Greensboro (2 remote).
#1 Baylor, #2 Oregon, #3 Oregon State, #4 Texas A&M play for Portland Regional.
#1 Notre Dame, #2 Stanford, #3 Iowa, #4 Iowa State play for Chicago Regional.
#1 Connecticut, #2 NC State, #3 Maryland, #4 Marquette play for Albany Regional.
#1 Louisville, #2 Mississippi State, #3 Miami, #4 South Carolina play for Greensboro Regional.
Mine only had 3 teams playing in a remote Regional:
Baylor plays a long way from Waco, but there is no regional nearby and the West is sparse.
Stanford plays a long way away, but that is because there are two #2's and no #1 out West.
NC State plays a ways away, but there is a cluster in the Southeast and no #2 in the Northeast.
At any rate, it is fun to think about. Hack away. I'm sure there are mistakes in my scheme.
Mine seems to make a lot more sense that this one by Charlie Creme which has at least 11 teams playing in a remote Regional:
http://www.espn.com/womens-college-basketball/bracketology.
#1 Notre Dame, #2 Oregon, #3 Iowa, and #4 Marquette playing for Portland (3 remote).
#1 Louisville, #2 Stanford, #3 Maryland, #4 Texas A&M playing for Chicago (3-4 remote).
#1 Connecticut, #2 Mississippi State, #3 Miami, #4 Iowa State playing for Albany (3 remote).
#1 Baylor, #2 NC State, #3 Oregon State, #4 South Carolina for Greensboro (2 remote).
I thought location of schools didn't come into play for which regional they were in once you got past the #1 seeds.
Louisville as the #2 overall seed would get placed in Chicago over Notre Dame. I hope that happens and we do end up with Chicago also. Less of a home game for Louisville than it would be for Notre Dame.
