How many teams really do have chance to win a national title? 15? 20?I think that's the case for the entire conference. Every team will feel on the right year they'll have a shot at winning this conference but none will have a shot at a NC. After UT/OU left there isn't a team capable of bringing in the type of recruiting classes you need to annually. The Big 12 will have to get the NC's in basketball. Actually it has been quite a while since the Big 12 has won a football NC anyway even with OU and UT but when we did it was one of those teams.
In the last 25 years, 13 schools - Bama 6, LSU 3, Clemson, Georgia, Florida, FSU, OSU 2 each, and Auburn, Miami, OU, Tenn, Texas, USC 1 each. Note no Nubs in there lol.
Who else can you add to that list? Probably Oregon, Washington, Michigan, Notre Dame, Penn St.
In the last 50 years, the only other schools not mentioned above that have won it are - BYU & Pittsburgh. You can also add Colorado, SMU, UCF and Georgia Tech having "shared" titles based on conflicted AP/Coaches poll results. And Colorado and GT shared with each other!
There have been others that have won it all, but not many in the last 50 years. I could see a team outside the blue bloods - i.e. "the field" winning it maybe once every 2 decades. You would need a generational coach and a generational QB at the same time, and then some luck on top of that. Think Snyder & Bishop at KSU, something like that.