Mostly agree. I would probably switch the leans on UCF and WV.
7-5, 5-4 conference. I don't see much upside though.
The defense needs safety depth, improved LB play, and a couple DL to emerge. The LB play I think can happen, since they were playing a lot of very young guys. Safety depth maybe, but I don't see anything on the DL that would be a big improvement.
The offense skill players are great, no problems there. A dominant OL and they would be set to avg 40 ppg. And I'd be optimistic on the OL given their improvement through the year, except they got their salad tossed so bad by Memphis (Memphis!) I lost all confidence in that. So they will be good but erratic.
Kicker is something to worry about.
And of course, under CMC they have shown you can absolutely out-scheme and out-smart this staff and beat them in any given game. Costs them a game or two every year.