I think the key to this game will be to keep Hogue, Ejim, Niang,Kane and even Edozie and Gibson out of foul trouble.
Iowa makes aggressive drives to the basket and takes the ball to the rim. So far, Ejim and Niang have not shown any ability to improve over last year in picking up fouls. I mean, Niang just fouled out against Auburn in a blow-out. I think this problem is the only thing that can doom ISU in this game.
The other recent phenomena with Iowa is that their last two games they have actually hit from outside pretty well. Now, this may have been getting used to the gym in the hotel, or a lack of transition defense by their opponents, just blind luck, or maybe (unlikely) suddenly some of their people figured out how to shoot 3's and that those baskets actually run your score up faster than 2 point baskets. I don't think that Iowa can get into a 3 point shooting contest or even a running contest with ISU, but it is still worth noting that their outside shooting has been better of late.
I think it will be a hell of a game.