COLUMN: What happens to Iowa State if the Big 12 implodes?

cycfan1

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Nov 27, 2006
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It would take a majority of votes to disband the league. If ISU and KU find their way into the Big 10 then that's 4. Find a home for 2 more.

Exactly. Texas and Oklahoma have 80 million reasons each to try and find homes for at least of few of the Big 12 schools.
 
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delt4cy

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May 11, 2006
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In theory, ESPN has an ~$750MM to $1B liability to the Big12 in contractual TV payouts over the next 4 years. UT/OU have a few years of TV revenue loss.

To minimize that liability, I'm wondering if the TV execs (who seem to have unlimited power to dicatate these moves) are actively facilitating behind the scenes. Ie. Pushing to 4 16-team super leagues sooner rather than later. They can minimize the short term liability and set the new world order up sooner. Providing revenue neutral outcomes to BIG, PAC12, and ACC is a must.

I hope we end up fine, but I'm not so sure. I do think we are in better position than KSU, Tech, Baylor, and TCU though. WVU, KU, & OSU are probably the most valuable "brands" amongst the 8.

I wouldn't mind holding at 8 (although musical chairs is on right now), retaining P5 status, and essentially getting an auto-bid to the 12-team playoff. Then, the Big12 could hold ESPN hostage for the massive payout and work with Amazon or Youtube to create a unique platform. I'm guessing that was Bowlsby's pitch to the ADs/Presidents last night.

I also have a sneaking suspicsion that Bowlsby is in on it with ESPN since he's approaching retirement and has no traditional ties to the Big12 other than his massive paycheck. Don't be surprised if he lands a cush advisory role with ABC/ESPN in approximtely 12 months.
 
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CyLyte2

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A contract is only enforceable to the point which it's monetarily beneficial for the affected party to fight it.
So you’re saying if the other 8 schools want to stay together they are just going to sit idly by and let Texas and OU off the hook?
 

cycfan1

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A contract is only enforceable to the point which it's monetarily beneficial for the affected party to fight it.

And its really ******* beneficial for the remaining 8 teams to fight it. 150m for 8 schools can pay a lot of lawyer bills.
 

1UNI2ISU

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So you’re saying if the other 8 schools want to stay together they are just going to sit idly by and let Texas and OU off the hook?

I'm saying that with a membership change that ESPN and FOX get to re-open the contract and without those two the rights fees are going to be dramatically less (if the other 8 choose to stay together) and faced with a reduced payout anyway it doesn't make any sense to funnel a bunch of money to lawyers.

I think it's a completely moot point anyway because enough schools will have re-grouped and found a new home by then and there won't be Big 12 (at least as we know it now) to even have granted rights to.
 

19clone91

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Nov 21, 2013
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And its really ******* beneficial for the remaining 8 teams to fight it.

Im still trying to figure out Texas and OU's plan here. They have obviously looked at all the options. I know they have money but we're talking $100 million plus each, even at Texas that is big money.
 

cycfan1

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Im still trying to figure out Texas and OU's plan here. They have obviously looked at all the options. I know they have money but we're talking $100 million plus each, even at Texas that is big money.

They are really banking on the other teams being forced to go elsewhere, which nullifies the GOR. Think its that simple.

If for somehow you let them leave this year, everyone signs to go to other conferences after 24/25... then you stick those two with the bill (not legal advice).
 
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1UNI2ISU

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Play the 7 teams in your division, 4 from the other division and then the Champions Weekend that the Big Ten is keeping (1v1, 2v2, etc). Get rid of all non-conference games and everyone makes a postseason/bowl game.

Perfect set up. Get it done.
 

Cloneon

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I'm saying that with a membership change that ESPN and FOX get to re-open the contract and without those two the rights fees are going to be dramatically less (if the other 8 choose to stay together) and faced with a reduced payout anyway it doesn't make any sense to funnel a bunch of money to lawyers.

I think it's a completely moot point anyway because enough schools will have re-grouped and found a new home by then and there won't be Big 12 (at least as we know it now) to even have granted rights to.
Is that true? Will there not be enough teams left from the original GOR to maintain the existing contract?
 

1UNI2ISU

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Is that true? Will there not be enough teams left from the original GOR to maintain the existing contract?

I mean Texas and OU are gone. Figure West Virginia and Oklahoma State to the ACC and, hopefully, ISU and KU to the Big Ten.

What are TT, TCU, Baylor and KSU going to do about it?
 

CyLyte2

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Play the 7 teams in your division, 4 from the other division and then the Champions Weekend that the Big Ten is keeping (1v1, 2v2, etc). Get rid of all non-conference games and everyone makes a postseason/bowl game.

Perfect set up. Get it done.
That would be silly. You play 3 non-cons, 7 division teams and two rotating cross-overs. Division champions meet in the championship game.
 

CyLyte2

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I mean Texas and OU are gone. Figure West Virginia and Oklahoma State to the ACC and, hopefully, ISU and KU to the Big Ten.

What are TT, TCU, Baylor and KSU going to do about it?
Why would OSU go to the ACC? I think ISU has a legit shot at the Big 10 but if not we're going to become the Pac East. Utah and Colorado join us. If WVU doesn't make the cut via geography then Boise State replaces them. Should be BYU but we all know how the left coasters are. Nice setup for 2 non cons and a cross over and then the 9 division games.
 

1UNI2ISU

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That would be silly. You play 3 non-cons, 7 division teams and two rotating cross-overs. Division champions meet in the championship game.

We'll agree to disagree there. With the money that FOX is going to pay the Big Ten, they're going to want 100% of the inventory and marquee games every week. Plus, the Big Ten (and SEC) have no incentive to share their fortunes with anyone else. Plus, if you only do two crossovers you'll go 6 years without seeing teams in your own league.

Would you rather have SEMO, Kent State and UNLV as three of your games or Michigan State, Purdue and Maryland?