Wannstedt could be right. If Tech, TCU and Baylor are the ones left out, then the Big 12 won't have enough votes to dissolve. That would put the onus back on OuT and the SEC to either settle with the R8 or offer 1-3 more invites to the SEC. We will find out soon enough what the Pac 12 intends to do.
I have been extremely pessimistic but I am starting to let myself believe there’s a real shot that the league soaks OU and UT for a settlement and then almost immediately afterward ISU/KU go to the B1G, TCU/Tech/OSU/KSU go to the Pac-16, and WVU goes to the ACC.
I think it would happen very fast to allow the B1G and Pac to kick off their TV rights negotiations in earnest with their 32 schools locked in for the duration of the new deal. Those deals expire in 2024 and I could see all of this getting announced next year with the schools jumping to first play in 2024.
One of many reasons why this is so quiet is because there is not going to be a landing spot for all 8 schools. In this scenario, Baylor would be left holding the bag. I would expect they’d get a substantially larger share of the OU/UT settlement than the other 7 do in order to wind down the Big 12 so that they could go to the American as the wealthiest AD there by far. With their facilities and $$$ and recruiting footprint, Baylor could be an expanded CFP contender from the American competing with UCF and Cincinnati. Not the end of the world for them.
If Jon effing Miller is seriously talking about ISU to the B1G then I’m gonna let myself believe it’s a real possibility.