CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
Parameters are made to be broken, plus it hasn't been that long since Florida repeated. But you are right, that is an exception.
However, if you want to get pickier, nearly every champion in the KenPom era hasn't just been top 40 in both offense/defense, but they've actually been top 20 in both. Only 2014 UConn (39th best offense) and 2021 Baylor (22nd best defense) buck that trend.
In fact, the majority of champions in the last 25 years have been top 10 in both categories.
If you limit to top 20 in both, this year that would leave possible champs of:
UConn
Houston
Auburn
Arizona
And that's it.
You could also stretch and include Purdue, they are 21 in defense.
This year, the only team going into the tournament top 10 in both categories is actually Auburn.
For a team like Purdue, Tennessee, Duke, North Carolina, Creighton, Marquette to win, that would only align with 2 of the last 23 champions. It's possible, just much more improbable.
For someone like us to win it all, we would be trendsetters. No one with either an AdjO or AdjD as poor as ours has won a national title in the KenPom era. Making the Final Four, though is a different threshold, certainly would be other teams like us who have done this recently.
Sounds like we might as well be trendsetters.